Corinthians vs Vitoria prediction & stats
Corinthians stats & fixtures · Vitoria stats & fixtures
Corinthians take on Vitoria in Serie A on 19 October 2026. The Ghost makes Corinthians favourites at 51%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 47%.
Corinthians vs Vitoria prediction
- 51%Corinthians fair odds 1.97
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.46
- 20%Vitoria fair odds 4.93
Most likely score 1-1 (13.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.58 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 10.61 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 9.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| Both teams to score: No | 53% | 1.90 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Corinthians 6.3 · Vitoria 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 5.7
Corinthians 2.5 · Vitoria 3.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 5.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 7.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Corinthians 5.4 · Vitoria 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (409 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.6%
- 1–0 12.6%
- 0–0 10.6%
- 2–0 10.5%
- 2–1 9.5%
- 0–1 6.4%
- 1–2 5.2%
- 3–0 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Corinthians
- 1 Hugo Souza Goalkeeper
- 2 Matheuzinho Defender
- 13 Gustavo Henrique Defender
- 7 Breno Bidon Midfielder
- 21 Matheus Bidu Defender
- 14 Raniele Midfielder
- 3 Gabriel Paulista Defender
- 37 Kaio Cesar Midfielder
- 8 R. Garro Midfielder
- 9 Yuri Alberto Attacker
- 19 A. Carrillo Midfielder
Vitoria
No lineup published yet.
Out and doubtful
- M. Depay Corinthians Out — Yellow Cards
- Nathan Mendes Vitoria Out — Knee Injury
- Kayke Corinthians Out — Knee Injury
- Z. Labyad Corinthians Out — Knee Injury
- Baralhas Vitoria Out — Broken Leg
- Caca Vitoria Out — Yellow Cards
- Camutanga Vitoria Out — Broken Leg
- Dudu Vitoria Out — Back Injury
- Edu Vitoria Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- Fabiano Vitoria Out — Knee Injury
- Ramon Vitoria Out — Leg Injury
- Riccieli Vitoria Out — Calf Injury
- Lucas Silva Vitoria Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Corinthians at home
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Vitoria away
0–3–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Corinthians vs Vitoria head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Vitoria v Corinthians | 0–0 | |
| Vitoria v Corinthians | 0–1 | |
| Corinthians v Vitoria | 0–0 | |
| Vitoria v Corinthians | 1–2 | |
| Corinthians v Vitoria | 3–2 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.03 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.93 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.56 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.03 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.45 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.42 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.97 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.80 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.24 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.08 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 13.60 |