Gremio vs Cruzeiro prediction & stats
Gremio take on Cruzeiro in Serie A on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Cruzeiro favourites at 38%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Gremio vs Cruzeiro prediction
- 34%Gremio fair odds 2.96
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.52
- 38%Cruzeiro fair odds 2.64
Most likely score 1-1 (13.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.51 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.30 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.23 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.28 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Gremio 5.4 · Cruzeiro 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 5.4
Gremio 2.4 · Cruzeiro 2.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 4.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 5.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 6.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 7.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 9.9
Gremio 5.0 · Cruzeiro 4.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (409 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.6%
- 1–2 8.6%
- 0–0 8.2%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 0–1 7.9%
- 1–0 7.3%
- 0–2 6.6%
- 2–0 5.8%
Team news & lineups
Gremio
- 20 M. Villasanti Midfielder
- 95 Carlos Vinicius Attacker
- 1 Weverton Goalkeeper
- 7 C. Pavon Attacker
- 9 F. Amuzu Attacker
- 4 Walter Kannemann Defender
- 27 Diego Caito Defender
- 10 F. Krovinović Midfielder
- 15 Danilo Barbosa Midfielder
- 8 E. Noriega Midfielder
- 18 Joao Pedro Midfielder
Cruzeiro
No lineup published yet.
Out and doubtful
- L. Sinisterra Cruzeiro Out — Muscle Injury
- Wallace Gremio Out — Yellow Cards
- Felipe Morais Cruzeiro Out — Yellow Cards
- Gabriel Pec Cruzeiro Out — Broken Leg
- L. Romero Cruzeiro Out — Injury
- J. Cabral Gremio Out — Inactive
- N. Villarreal Cruzeiro Doubtful — Ankle Injury
- Matheus Nascimento Gremio Doubtful — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Gremio at home
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cruzeiro away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Gremio vs Cruzeiro head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio v Cruzeiro | 3–1 | |
| Cruzeiro v Gremio | 2–0 | |
| Gremio v Cruzeiro | 0–1 | |
| Cruzeiro v Gremio | 4–1 | |
| Cruzeiro v Gremio | 1–1 | |
| Gremio v Cruzeiro | 0–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.96 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.69 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home clean sheet | 25% | 4.02 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.40 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.64 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.39 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.46 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.47 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 6.90 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.06 |