Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Sao Paulo stats & fixtures · Vasco DA Gama stats & fixtures
Sao Paulo beat Vasco DA Gama 1–0 in Serie A on 18 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.26–0.92. Vasco DA Gama had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Sao Paulo 44%, the draw 29% and Vasco DA Gama 27%.
Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 1.26 Expected goals (xG) 0.92
- 9 Total shots 13
- 2 Shots on target 2
- 7 Shots off target 7
- 0 Blocked shots 4
- 6 Shots inside the box 11
- 3 Corners 4
- 14 Fouls 15
- 1 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 381 Passes 577
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 42' Yellow card Artur Sao Paulo
- 44' Yellow card F. Colidio Vasco DA Gama
- 54' Yellow card Gabriel Pereira Vasco DA Gama
- 68' Goal Artur (assist Pedro Lima) Sao Paulo
- 90+2' Yellow card Iago Borduchi Sao Paulo
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Sao Paulo fair odds 2.27
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.48
- 27%Vasco DA Gama fair odds 3.67
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.84 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.27 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.13 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.14 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.7
Sao Paulo 6.2 · Vasco DA Gama 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 9.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.4
Sao Paulo 1.8 · Vasco DA Gama 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.1
Sao Paulo 5.0 · Vasco DA Gama 4.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (405 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 1–0 9.7%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 0–0 9.0%
- 2–0 8.2%
- 1–2 6.8%
- 0–1 6.8%
- 2–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Sao Paulo
Bench Wendell , Victor Sa , G. Santana , Sabino , Ryan Francisco , Pedro Ferreira , Pablo Maia , Luis Osorio , Lucca Marques , Lucas Ramon , Lucas Moura , Carlos Coronel
Vasco DA Gama
Bench Loide Augusto , Thiago Mendes , Brenner , Daniel Fuzato , David , Jair , Lucas Freitas , Lucas Piton , Ramon Rique , J. Rodriguez , A. Saldivia , Adson
Out and doubtful
- Cauly Sao Paulo Out — Inactive
- Djhordney Sao Paulo Out — Yellow Cards
- Luciano Sao Paulo Out — Inactive
- C. Spinelli Vasco DA Gama Out — Inactive
- Buta Sao Paulo Out — Knee Injury
- D. Duarte Sao Paulo Out — Knee Injury
- N. Bosshardt Sao Paulo Out — Inactive
- C. Cuesta Vasco DA Gama Out — Inactive
- Cauan Barros Vasco DA Gama Out — Inactive
- M. Hinestroza Vasco DA Gama Out — Inactive
- Mateus Carvalho Vasco DA Gama Out — Knee Injury
- N. Moreira Vasco DA Gama Out — Inactive
- Ferreira Sao Paulo Doubtful — Injury
- F. Colidio Vasco DA Gama Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Sao Paulo at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 7.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Vasco DA Gama away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
42% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 2–1 | |
| Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 0–2 | |
| Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama | 1–3 | |
| Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama | 3–0 | |
| Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 4–1 | |
| Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.25 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.62 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.46 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.27 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.50 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.73 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.36 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.05 |