Fluminense vs Santos prediction & stats
Fluminense stats & fixtures · Santos stats & fixtures
Fluminense take on Santos in Serie A on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Fluminense favourites at 56%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Fluminense vs Santos prediction
- 56%Fluminense fair odds 1.78
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.98
- 19%Santos fair odds 5.38
Most likely score 1-1 (12.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.29 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.66 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.60 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.16 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
Fluminense 6.4 · Santos 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.8
Fluminense 1.9 · Santos 2.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 9.9
Fluminense 6.4 · Santos 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (409 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.0%
- 2–1 10.3%
- 2–0 10.2%
- 1–0 10.1%
- 0–0 7.4%
- 3–1 6.0%
- 3–0 6.0%
- 1–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Fluminense
- 1 Fábio Goalkeeper
- 8 Martinelli Midfielder
- 29 J. Millan Defender
- 17 A. Canobbio Midfielder
- 16 Nonato Midfielder
- 7 Hulk Attacker
- 3 Thiago Silva Defender
- 10 PH Ganso Midfielder
- 23 Guga Defender
- 11 J. Savarino Midfielder
- 32 L. Acosta Midfielder
Santos
- 23 Rodinei Defender
- 9 Gabriel Barbosa Attacker
- 31 G. Escobar Defender
- 15 Willian Arao Defender
- 4 Lucas Verissimo Defender
- 28 C. Oliva Midfielder
- 1 Diógenes Goalkeeper
- 48 Gustavo Henrique Midfielder
- 8 Gabriel Bontempo Midfielder
- 7 Everton Midfielder
- 32 B. Rollheiser Attacker
Out and doubtful
- Gabriel Brazao Santos Out — Shoulder Injury
- Alisson Fluminense Out — Hip Injury
- G. Cano Fluminense Out — Hamstring Injury
- Guilherme Arana Fluminense Out — Yellow Cards
- John Kennedy Fluminense Out — Knee Injury
- Matheus Reis Fluminense Out — Knee Injury
- Arthur Melo Santos Out — Muscle Injury
- Neymar Santos Out — Inactive
- Vinicius Lira Santos Out — Knee Injury
- Willian Arao Santos Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Fluminense at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 6.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.9 per game
44% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Santos away
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Fluminense vs Santos head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Santos v Fluminense | 2–3 | |
| Santos v Fluminense | 0–0 | |
| Fluminense v Santos | 1–0 | |
| Santos v Fluminense | 0–3 | |
| Fluminense v Santos | 1–0 | |
| Santos v Fluminense | 2–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 32% | 3.10 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Home clean sheet | 37% | 2.67 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 44% | 2.29 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 26% | 3.90 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.20 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.38 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.93 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.05 |