Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Botafogo stats & fixtures · Chapecoense-sc stats & fixtures
Botafogo beat Chapecoense-sc 1–0 in Serie A on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.44–0.24. Botafogo had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Botafogo 68%, the draw 20% and Chapecoense-sc 13%.
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc match statistics
- 51% Ball possession 49%
- 2.44 Expected goals (xG) 0.24
- 20 Total shots 9
- 11 Shots on target 0
- 5 Shots off target 6
- 4 Blocked shots 3
- 12 Shots inside the box 4
- 4 Corners 4
- 9 Fouls 12
- 2 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 529 Passes 492
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 10
Goals and cards
- 7' Goal Tiquinho Soares (assist Matheus Martins) Botafogo
- 14' Yellow card Kauan Chapecoense-sc
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 68%Botafogo fair odds 1.48
- 20%Draw fair odds 5.03
- 13%Chapecoense-sc fair odds 7.96
Most likely score 2-0 (10.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22% | 4.63 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.10 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.17 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.26 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
Botafogo 6.6 · Chapecoense-sc 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Botafogo 1.9 · Chapecoense-sc 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 10.8
Botafogo 7.6 · Chapecoense-sc 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (405 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 10.8%
- 2–1 10.5%
- 1–1 9.3%
- 1–0 8.7%
- 3–0 7.8%
- 3–1 7.6%
- 0–0 5.0%
- 2–2 4.4%
Team news & lineups
Botafogo
Bench Junior Santos , C. Medina , Paulinho , Kauan Toledo , G. Justino , M. Ponte , Domingos Andrade , Arthur Cabral , K. Barria , L. M. Villalba Jaume , Danilo , Huguinho , Warleson
Chapecoense-sc
Bench Y. Bolasie , Bruno Matias , Miguel Carvalho , Dudu , Joao Paulo , Max Alves , Rafael Thyere , Rodrigo , Matheus Aurélio , F. Rossi
Out and doubtful
- Marcal Botafogo Out — Yellow Cards
- Marcinho Chapecoense-sc Out — Yellow Cards
- Rafael Carvalheira Chapecoense-sc Out — Knee Injury
- Arthur Chaves Botafogo Out — Inactive
- J. Barrera Botafogo Out — Ankle Injury
- Kaio Pantaleao Botafogo Out — Knee Injury
- L. Monzon Botafogo Out — Inactive
- Heitor Chapecoense-sc Out — Hamstring Injury
- Max Alves Chapecoense-sc Out — Back Injury
- Robert Conceicao Chapecoense-sc Out — Knee Injury
- Vinicius Balieiro Chapecoense-sc Out — Knee Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Botafogo at home
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.6 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Chapecoense-sc away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.4 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc v Botafogo | 1–4 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.08 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 32% | 3.08 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 9.95 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 87% | 1.14 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 87% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.19 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 39% | 2.56 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.66 |
| Home clean sheet | 39% | 2.55 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 13% | 7.96 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 21.86 |