Bahia vs Flamengo prediction & stats
Bahia take on Flamengo in Serie A on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Flamengo favourites at 38%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 57%.
Bahia vs Flamengo prediction
- 34%Bahia fair odds 2.94
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.57
- 38%Flamengo fair odds 2.63
Most likely score 1-1 (13.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.36 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.87 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.86 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.34 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.8
Bahia 5.8 · Flamengo 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.8
Bahia 2.2 · Flamengo 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 4.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 5.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
Bahia 4.9 · Flamengo 4.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (409 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.3%
- 1–2 8.7%
- 2–1 8.1%
- 0–0 7.8%
- 0–1 7.6%
- 1–0 7.0%
- 0–2 6.5%
- 2–0 5.7%
Team news & lineups
Bahia
- 16 Erick Pulga Attacker
- 11 Rodrigo Midfielder
- 9 A. Véliz Attacker
- 46 Luciano Juba Defender
- 33 David Duarte Defender
- 1 Ronaldo Strada Goalkeeper
- 99 C. Olivera Attacker
- 6 Jean Lucas Midfielder
- 5 Nicolas Acevedo Midfielder
- 44 Marcos Victor Defender
- 4 Kanu Defender
Flamengo
- 1 A. Rossi Goalkeeper
- 15 J. Carrascal Midfielder
- 4 Leo Pereira Defender
- 20 Lucas Paqueta Midfielder
- 5 E. Pulgar Midfielder
- 16 Samuel Lino Midfielder
- 3 Leo Ortiz Defender
- 26 Alex Sandro Defender
- 8 S. Niguez Midfielder
- 22 Emerson Royal Defender
- 9 Pedro Attacker
Out and doubtful
- Ayrton Lucas Flamengo Out — Thigh Injury
- Evertton Araujo Flamengo Out — Thigh Injury
- Leo Vieira Bahia Out — Knee Injury
- Danilo Flamengo Out — Inactive
- G. de Arrascaeta Flamengo Out — Wrist Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Bahia at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Flamengo away
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bahia vs Flamengo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo v Bahia | 2–0 | |
| Bahia v Flamengo | 1–0 | |
| Flamengo v Bahia | 1–0 | |
| Bahia v Flamengo | 0–2 | |
| Flamengo v Bahia | 2–1 | |
| Flamengo v Bahia | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.94 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home clean sheet | 24% | 4.13 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.27 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.79 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.59 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.63 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.41 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.40 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.83 |