Coritiba vs Botafogo match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Coritiba drew with Botafogo 1–1 in Serie A on 12 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.16–0.93. Botafogo had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Coritiba 36%, the draw 27% and Botafogo 37%.
Coritiba vs Botafogo match statistics
- 43% Ball possession 57%
- 1.16 Expected goals (xG) 0.93
- 13 Total shots 18
- 3 Shots on target 5
- 4 Shots off target 10
- 6 Blocked shots 3
- 8 Shots inside the box 11
- 8 Corners 7
- 16 Fouls 13
- 2 Offsides 0
- 5 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 342 Passes 440
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 22' Own goal Marcal Coritiba
- 34' Goal Danilo (assist C. Medina) Botafogo
- 45' Yellow card Allan Botafogo
- 45+3' Yellow card F. Bustos Coritiba
- 45+4' Yellow card S. Gomez Coritiba
- 52' Yellow card Thiago Santos Coritiba
- 66' Yellow card Tiago Coser Coritiba
- 66' Yellow card Marcal Botafogo
- 88' Yellow card Rodrigo Gelado Coritiba
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 36%Coritiba fair odds 2.76
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.68
- 37%Botafogo fair odds 2.73
Most likely score 1-1 (12.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.08 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.07 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.31 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.46 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Coritiba 5.0 · Botafogo 5.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Coritiba 1.6 · Botafogo 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
Coritiba 4.5 · Botafogo 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (411 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.8%
- 1–2 8.5%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 0–1 6.7%
- 1–0 6.7%
- 0–2 5.9%
- 2–0 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Coritiba
Bench Tinga , Rodrigo Moledo , N. Fonseca , B. Ocampo , Maicon , Pedro Rangel , Rodrigo Rodrigues , Rodrigo Gelado , Gustavo , Vini Paulista , Renato Marques , Breno Lopes
Botafogo
Bench K. Barria , Domingos Andrade , Danilo , Huguinho , Junior Santos , G. Justino , Kauan Toledo , A. Montoro , Paulinho , M. Ponte , Tiquinho Soares , Warleson
Out and doubtful
- Bruno Melo Coritiba Out — Yellow Cards
- Lucas Ronier Coritiba Out — Knee Injury
- Tiago Coser Coritiba Out — Inactive
- Arthur Chaves Botafogo Out — Inactive
- J. Barrera Botafogo Out — Ankle Injury
- Kaio Pantaleao Botafogo Out — Knee Injury
- L. Monzon Botafogo Out — Inactive
- Keno Coritiba Out — Knee Injury
- Lucas Taverna Coritiba Out — Inactive
- Pedro Morisco Coritiba Out — Inactive
- B. Ocampo Coritiba Doubtful — Ankle Injury
- Jacy Coritiba Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Coritiba at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
24% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Botafogo away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Coritiba vs Botafogo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo v Coritiba | 2–2 | |
| Coritiba v Botafogo | 1–1 | |
| Botafogo v Coritiba | 4–1 | |
| Botafogo v Coritiba | 2–0 | |
| Coritiba v Botafogo | 1–0 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.76 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.38 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 64% | 1.57 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.21 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.73 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.58 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.19 |
| Home clean sheet | 24% | 4.22 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.64 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.71 |