Flamengo vs Fluminense match stats & report
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Flamengo stats & fixtures · Fluminense stats & fixtures
Flamengo beat Fluminense 1–0 in Serie A on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.72–0.71. Fluminense had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Flamengo 61%, the draw 23% and Fluminense 15%.
Flamengo vs Fluminense match statistics
- 43% Ball possession 57%
- 1.72 Expected goals (xG) 0.71
- 17 Total shots 12
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 7 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 4
- 8 Shots inside the box 7
- 4 Corners 2
- 21 Fouls 18
- 3 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 426 Passes 558
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 31' Yellow card E. Pulgar Flamengo
- 39' Yellow card L. Acosta Fluminense
- 49' Yellow card S. Niguez Flamengo
- 57' Yellow card A. Canobbio Fluminense
- 65' Goal J. Carrascal (assist Lucas Paqueta) Flamengo
- 83' Yellow card Ignacio Fluminense
- 87' Yellow card Guilherme Arana Fluminense
- 90+5' Yellow card J. Freitas Flamengo
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 61%Flamengo fair odds 1.63
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.26
- 15%Fluminense fair odds 6.57
Most likely score 1-1 (11.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.18 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.36 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.10 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Flamengo 6.2 · Fluminense 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 5.3
Flamengo 2.6 · Fluminense 2.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 5.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 7.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
Flamengo 5.9 · Fluminense 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (407 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.2%
- 2–0 11.2%
- 2–1 10.5%
- 1–0 10.5%
- 3–0 7.0%
- 0–0 6.9%
- 3–1 6.5%
- 1–2 4.4%
Team news & lineups
Flamengo
Bench Emerson Royal , J. Freitas , Johnny Góes , Bruno Henrique , G. Plata , A. Valencia , Vitao , Andrew , Danilo , Luiz Araujo , N. de la Cruz , Dyogo
Fluminense
Bench Thiago Silva , J. Freytes , Otávio , Hercules , Igor Rabello , Guga , J. Savarino , K. Serna , Hulk , Wesley Nata , Vitor Eudes , PH Ganso
Out and doubtful
- Ayrton Lucas Flamengo Out — Thigh Injury
- Evertton Araujo Flamengo Out — Thigh Injury
- Jorginho Flamengo Out — Red Card
- Leo Ortiz Flamengo Out — Inactive
- Rene Fluminense Out — Inactive
- G. de Arrascaeta Flamengo Out — Wrist Injury
- G. Varela Flamengo Out — Inactive
- Alisson Fluminense Out — Hip Injury
- G. Cano Fluminense Out — Hamstring Injury
- John Kennedy Fluminense Out — Knee Injury
- Matheus Reis Fluminense Out — Knee Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Flamengo at home
8–2–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.2 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Fluminense away
1–5–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
42% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Flamengo vs Fluminense head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Fluminense v Flamengo | 1–2 | |
| Fluminense v Flamengo | 2–1 | |
| Flamengo v Fluminense | 1–0 | |
| Flamengo v Fluminense | 0–2 | |
| Fluminense v Flamengo | 0–1 | |
| Flamengo v Fluminense | 1–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.59 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.39 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 39% | 2.59 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 15.74 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.57 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.63 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 37% | 2.72 |
| Away clean sheet | 14% | 7.12 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.29 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.47 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 18.14 |