Palmeiras vs Corinthians match stats & report
4–1 Full time
Palmeiras stats & fixtures · Corinthians stats & fixtures
Palmeiras beat Corinthians 4–1 in Serie A on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.68–0.77. Palmeiras had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Palmeiras 61%, the draw 26% and Corinthians 13%.
Palmeiras vs Corinthians match statistics
- 55% Ball possession 45%
- 2.68 Expected goals (xG) 0.77
- 22 Total shots 12
- 8 Shots on target 3
- 8 Shots off target 6
- 6 Blocked shots 3
- 14 Shots inside the box 10
- 7 Corners 3
- 17 Fouls 11
- 2 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 455 Passes 376
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 9' Yellow card J. Arias Palmeiras
- 15' Yellow card Raniele Corinthians
- 16' Goal A. Barboza (assist Lucas Evangelista) Palmeiras
- 45+1' Goal A. Giay (assist J. Arias) Palmeiras
- 46' Own goal Matheus Bidu Palmeiras
- 48' Yellow card M. Depay Corinthians
- 49' Yellow card A. Giay Palmeiras
- 51' Goal A. Giay Palmeiras
- 59' Yellow card Gabriel Paulista Corinthians
- 65' Yellow card Vitinho Corinthians
- 72' Yellow card G. Gomez Palmeiras
- 81' Penalty missed Paulinho Palmeiras
- 90+1' Goal Gustavo Henrique (assist Vitinho) Corinthians
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 61%Palmeiras fair odds 1.64
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.85
- 13%Corinthians fair odds 7.59
Most likely score 1-0 (14.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.59 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 10.63 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 9.72 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.34 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.75 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.1
Palmeiras 6.7 · Corinthians 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 10.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 11.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 12.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 13.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.8
Palmeiras 2.2 · Corinthians 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 9.1
Palmeiras 6.1 · Corinthians 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (407 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 14.7%
- 2–0 13.2%
- 1–1 12.1%
- 0–0 10.3%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 3–0 7.2%
- 3–1 5.3%
- 0–1 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Palmeiras
Bench Mauricio , E. Martinez , Marcelo Lomba , Luis Felipe , Marlon Freitas , Paulinho , Arthur Gabriel , Khellven , R. Sosa , Larson , Bruno Fuchs , Felipe Anderson
Corinthians
Bench Vitinho , Pedro Raul , J. Lingard , Andre Ramalho , Charles Rigon , Allan , Gui Negao , Dieguinho , I. Machado , Joao Pedro , Kauê Camargo , F. Angileri
Out and doubtful
- Dieguinho Corinthians Out — Inactive
- Joao Pedro Corinthians Out — Inactive
- R. Garro Corinthians Out — Yellow Cards
- Jefte Palmeiras Out — Knee Injury
- A. Carrillo Corinthians Out — Lacking Match Fitness
- Kaio Cesar Corinthians Out — Yellow Cards
- Kayke Corinthians Out — Knee Injury
- Z. Labyad Corinthians Out — Knee Injury
- Paulinho Palmeiras Out — Muscle Injury
- Andre Ramalho Corinthians Doubtful — Health problems
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Palmeiras at home
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.7 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Corinthians away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
42% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Palmeiras vs Corinthians head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Corinthians v Palmeiras | 0–0 | |
| Corinthians v Palmeiras | 1–1 | |
| Palmeiras v Corinthians | 2–0 | |
| Corinthians v Palmeiras | 2–0 | |
| Palmeiras v Corinthians | 2–0 | |
| Corinthians v Palmeiras | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.92 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home clean sheet | 50% | 2.02 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.55 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.21 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 39% | 2.55 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.60 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 50% | 1.98 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 13% | 7.59 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 15% | 6.45 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 29.12 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 24.49 |