Atletico-MG vs Santos match stats & report

2–1 Full time

Serie A · Brazil · Regular Season - 30 · Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta · Ref Alex Gomes Stefano

Atletico-MG stats & fixtures · Santos stats & fixtures

Atletico-MG beat Santos 2–1 in Serie A on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.48–1.14. Atletico-MG had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atletico-MG 45%, the draw 27% and Santos 27%.

Atletico-MG vs Santos match statistics

Atletico-MGSantos

58% Ball possession 42%
1.48 Expected goals (xG) 1.14
21 Total shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
12 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
18 Shots inside the box 5
12 Corners 3
10 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
549 Passes 553
2 Goalkeeper saves 4

Goals and cards

45+2' Yellow card A. Franco Atletico-MG
45+4' Yellow card Lucas Verissimo Santos
66' Yellow card Luan Peres Santos
66' Yellow card T. Borbas Atletico-MG
70' Yellow card Igor Gomes Atletico-MG
85' Yellow card Joao Schmidt Santos
88' Goal Gabriel Barbosa (assist Coutinho) Santos
89' Yellow card Willian Arao Santos
89' Yellow card Gabriel Barbosa Santos
90+1' Goal Vitor Hugo (assist Maycon) Atletico-MG
90+7' Goal T. Borbas (assist A. Minda) Atletico-MG

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

45%Atletico-MG fair odds 2.21
27%Draw fair odds 3.66
27%Santos fair odds 3.64

Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	92%	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.32
Over 4.5 goals	15%	6.75
Under 0.5 goals	8%	13.13
Under 1.5 goals	22%	4.53
Under 2.5 goals	47%	2.11
Under 3.5 goals	70%	1.43
Under 4.5 goals	85%	1.17
Both teams to score: Yes	57%	1.76
Both teams to score: No	43%	2.31

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.8

Atletico-MG 6.1 · Santos 4.7

Total corners	Over	Under
8.5	73%	27%
9.5	62%	38%
10.5	51%	49%
11.5	40%	60%
12.5	30%	70%

Expected cards: 4.5

Atletico-MG 1.9 · Santos 2.6

Total cards	Over	Under
2.5	82%	18%
3.5	65%	35%
4.5	46%	54%
5.5	30%	70%
6.5	18%	82%

Expected shots on target: 9.2

Atletico-MG 5.7 · Santos 3.6

Total shots on target	Over	Under
7.5	68%	32%
8.5	56%	44%
9.5	44%	56%
10.5	33%	67%
11.5	23%	77%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (407 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1–1 13.0%
2–1 9.5%
1–0 8.5%
2–0 7.9%
0–0 7.6%
1–2 7.0%
0–1 5.9%
2–2 5.4%

Team news & lineups

Atletico-MG

Confirmed 4-2-3-1 E. Domínguez

1 Gabriel Delfim

36 K. Pascini 14 Vitor Hugo 3 L. Duarte 2 Natanael

5 Alexsander 21 A. Franco

17 Igor Gomes 15 K. Castano 30 Victor Hugo

18 T. Borbas

Bench Reinier , M. Cisse , Vitao , Pedro Lemos , R. Lodi , A. Minda , Dudu , Robert , A. Preciado , Lyanco , Maycon , Caua

Santos

Confirmed 4-2-3-1 Cuca

1 Diógenes

31 G. Escobar 15 Willian Arao 4 Lucas Verissimo 23 Rodinei

28 C. Oliva 48 Gustavo Henrique

7 Everton 32 B. Rollheiser 8 Gabriel Bontempo

9 Gabriel Barbosa

Bench A. Barreal , G. Caballero , Coutinho , S. Pierri , Lima , Luan Peres , Joao Schmidt , João Paulo , M. Terceros , Rony , Thaciano , Igor Vinicius

Out and doubtful

Cuello Atletico-MG Out — Yellow Cards
Everson Atletico-MG Out — Foot Injury
Fred Atletico-MG Out — Injury
Gustavo Scarpa Atletico-MG Out — Muscle Injury
Ruan Tressoldi Atletico-MG Out — Muscle Injury
T. Perez Atletico-MG Out — Red Card
Gabriel Brazao Santos Out — Shoulder Injury
M. Cassierra Atletico-MG Out — Injury
Arthur Melo Santos Out — Muscle Injury
Everton Santos Out — Inactive
Neymar Santos Out — Inactive
Vinicius Lira Santos Out — Knee Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Atletico-MG at home

7–3–0 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.9 per game
Conceded: 0.7 per game
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Corners: 7.1 per game
Shots on target: 6.5 per game

32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Santos away

6–1–3 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.9 per game
Conceded: 1.2 per game
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Corners: 3.0 per game
Shots on target: 4.3 per game

32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Atletico-MG vs Santos head-to-head

Date	Match	Score
16 Sep 26	Atletico-MG v Santos	4–2
9 Sep 26	Santos v Atletico-MG	2–0
11 Apr 26	Santos v Atletico-MG	1–0
14 Sep 25	Atletico-MG v Santos	1–1
17 Apr 25	Santos v Atletico-MG	2–0
27 Aug 23	Atletico-MG v Santos	2–0

The full Atletico-MG vs Santos head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Home -0.5 handicap	45%	2.21
Home +0.5 handicap	73%	1.38
Home Over 1.5 team goals	47%	2.13
Home clean sheet	30%	3.30
Home/Draw double chance	73%	1.38
Away Over 0.5 team goals	70%	1.43
Away +1.5 handicap	76%	1.31
Home Over 0.5 team goals	79%	1.26
Home +1.5 handicap	88%	1.14
Away Over 2.5 team goals	12%	8.31
Away +0.5 handicap	55%	1.83
Home Over 2.5 team goals	21%	4.75
Home/Away double chance	73%	1.38
Home -1.5 handicap	24%	4.23
Draw/Away double chance	55%	1.83
Away Over 1.5 team goals	34%	2.98
Away -0.5 handicap	27%	3.64
Away clean sheet	21%	4.86
Away -1.5 handicap	12%	8.36