Palmeiras vs Bahia match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Palmeiras beat Bahia 1–0 in Serie A on 9 October 2026. Bahia had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Palmeiras 54%, the draw 26% and Bahia 20%.
Palmeiras vs Bahia match statistics
- 41% Ball possession 59%
- 26 Total shots 10
- 11 Shots on target 1
- 12 Shots off target 4
- 3 Blocked shots 5
- 16 Shots inside the box 3
- 7 Corners 3
- 9 Fouls 12
- 1 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 363 Passes 543
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 10
Goals and cards
- 7' Goal J. Lopez (assist A. Barboza) Palmeiras
- 61' Yellow card Nicolas Acevedo Bahia
- 64' Yellow card Khellven Palmeiras
- 87' Yellow card Jean Lucas Bahia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 54%Palmeiras fair odds 1.85
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.91
- 20%Bahia fair odds 4.92
Most likely score 1-1 (12.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.55 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.72 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.22 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.5
Palmeiras 6.8 · Bahia 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 10.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 11.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 12.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 13.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 5.7
Palmeiras 2.6 · Bahia 3.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 5.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 6.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 7.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected shots on target: 10.4
Palmeiras 6.5 · Bahia 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (402 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.2%
- 2–1 10.3%
- 1–0 9.6%
- 2–0 9.6%
- 0–0 7.3%
- 3–1 5.9%
- 1–2 5.6%
- 3–0 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Palmeiras
Bench Bruno Fuchs , J. Arias , A. Giay , Marcelo Lomba , Mauricio , E. Martinez , Luis Felipe , J. Piquerez , Fabiano , R. Sosa , Larson , Felipe Anderson
Bahia
Bench M. Moreno , G. Herrera , Marcos Victor , Erick , Michel Araujo , M. Sanabria , Caio Alexandre , Everaldo , Ademir , Willian Jose , Everton Ribeiro , Ze Guilherme
Out and doubtful
- Jefte Palmeiras Out — Knee Injury
- Leo Vieira Bahia Out — Knee Injury
- Paulinho Palmeiras Out — Muscle Injury
- Michel Araujo Bahia Doubtful — Hamstring Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Palmeiras at home
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.7 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bahia away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Palmeiras vs Bahia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bahia v Palmeiras | 1–2 | |
| Bahia v Palmeiras | 1–0 | |
| Palmeiras v Bahia | 0–1 | |
| Bahia v Palmeiras | 1–2 | |
| Palmeiras v Bahia | 2–0 | |
| Palmeiras v Bahia | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.18 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.96 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 46% | 2.18 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.92 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 69% | 1.44 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.63 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.81 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.50 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.85 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.44 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 31% | 3.27 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.84 |