Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG match stats & report
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Atletico Paranaense stats & fixtures · Atletico-MG stats & fixtures
Atletico Paranaense drew with Atletico-MG 2–2 in Serie A on 8 October 2026. Atletico Paranaense had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atletico Paranaense 51%, the draw 27% and Atletico-MG 22%.
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG match statistics
- 51% Ball possession 49%
- 31 Total shots 15
- 10 Shots on target 9
- 13 Shots off target 5
- 8 Blocked shots 1
- 17 Shots inside the box 7
- 10 Corners 3
- 13 Fouls 11
- 0 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 1
- 500 Passes 488
- 7 Goalkeeper saves 8
Goals and cards
- 8' Goal K. A. Calderon Vargas (assist Gilberto) Atletico Paranaense
- 27' Goal Bernard Atletico-MG
- 67' Yellow card Cuello Atletico-MG
- 73' Red card T. Perez Atletico-MG
- 74' Yellow card K. Castano Atletico-MG
- 90+3' Goal K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense
- 90+7' Goal Lyanco (assist T. Borbas) Atletico-MG
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 51%Atletico Paranaense fair odds 1.96
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.71
- 22%Atletico-MG fair odds 4.56
Most likely score 1-1 (12.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.56 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.45 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.23 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.21 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
Atletico Paranaense 6.0 · Atletico-MG 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Atletico Paranaense 1.8 · Atletico-MG 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Atletico Paranaense 5.5 · Atletico-MG 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (403 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.9%
- 1–0 10.1%
- 2–1 10.0%
- 2–0 9.5%
- 0–0 8.2%
- 1–2 5.9%
- 0–1 5.4%
- 3–1 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Atletico Paranaense
Bench Chiqueti , Felipinho , Dudu , Gilberto Junior , Santos , Renan Peixoto , Léo , Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto , Diogo Riquelme , B. Zapelli , Claudinho , Leozinho
Atletico-MG
Bench T. Borbas , K. Castano , L. Duarte , Dudu , Igor Gomes , K. Pascini , T. Perez , Robert , Victor Hugo , Vitor Hugo , Alexsander , Guilherme Pires Soares
Out and doubtful
- F. Aguirre Atletico Paranaense Out — Yellow Cards
- G. Benavidez Atletico Paranaense Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Minda Atletico-MG Out — Rest
- Everson Atletico-MG Out — Foot Injury
- Gustavo Scarpa Atletico-MG Out — Muscle Injury
- Ruan Tressoldi Atletico-MG Out — Muscle Injury
- Dantas Atletico Paranaense Out — Inactive
- A. Franco Atletico-MG Out — Rest
- A. Preciado Atletico-MG Out — Rest
- M. Cassierra Atletico-MG Out — Injury
- Claudinho Atletico Paranaense Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense Doubtful — Inactive
- K. Castano Atletico-MG Doubtful — Inactive
- Reinier Atletico-MG Doubtful — Injury
- Vitor Hugo Atletico-MG Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Atletico Paranaense at home
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 7.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.4 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atletico-MG away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG v Atletico Paranaense | 2–1 | |
| Atletico-MG v Atletico Paranaense | 1–0 | |
| Atletico Paranaense v Atletico-MG | 1–0 | |
| Atletico Paranaense v Atletico-MG | 1–1 | |
| Atletico-MG v Atletico Paranaense | 2–1 | |
| Atletico-MG v Atletico Paranaense | 2–3 |
The full Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.36 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.60 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.02 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.96 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.80 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.64 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.05 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.56 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.28 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.49 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.58 |