Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Cruzeiro beat Sao Paulo 2–0 in Serie A on 8 October 2026. Cruzeiro had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Cruzeiro 56%, the draw 26% and Sao Paulo 18%.
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 22 Total shots 19
- 9 Shots on target 3
- 8 Shots off target 9
- 5 Blocked shots 7
- 14 Shots inside the box 11
- 8 Corners 8
- 12 Fouls 20
- 1 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 472 Passes 386
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 21' Yellow card Wendell Sao Paulo
- 24' Yellow card G. Rojas Cruzeiro
- 44' Goal Kaio Jorge (assist Matheus Pereira) Cruzeiro
- 57' Goal Zé Lucas Cruzeiro
- 72' Yellow card Matheus Pereira Cruzeiro
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 56%Cruzeiro fair odds 1.78
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.86
- 18%Sao Paulo fair odds 5.53
Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.59 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.15 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.06 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
Cruzeiro 5.8 · Sao Paulo 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.9
Cruzeiro 2.5 · Sao Paulo 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 5.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Cruzeiro 5.5 · Sao Paulo 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (397 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.4%
- 1–0 11.1%
- 2–0 10.7%
- 2–1 10.2%
- 0–0 8.2%
- 3–0 6.0%
- 3–1 5.8%
- 1–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Cruzeiro
Bench Kelvin Vinicius Barbosa Coutinho, K. Arroyo , Fagner , Wesley Gassova , Zé Lucas , Kaua Moraes , Marquinhos , Cassio , L. Rodríguez , Lucas Silva , M. Viña , Matheus Henrique
Sao Paulo
Bench Lucas Ramon , Pedro Henrique Bezerra Araújo, G. Santana , Djhordney , Pedro Ferreira , Andre Silva , Luis Osorio , João Pedro Pantiga Gomes, Ryan Francisco , Victor Sa , Ferreira , Newton
Out and doubtful
- Fabricio Bruno Cruzeiro Out — Inactive
- L. Sinisterra Cruzeiro Out — Muscle Injury
- N. Villarreal Cruzeiro Out — Ankle Injury
- Lucas Moura Sao Paulo Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- Luciano Sao Paulo Out — Inactive
- Rafael Sao Paulo Out — Inactive
- Gabriel Pec Cruzeiro Out — Broken Leg
- Kenji Cruzeiro Out — Ankle Injury
- L. Romero Cruzeiro Out — Calf Injury
- Buta Sao Paulo Out — Knee Injury
- D. Duarte Sao Paulo Out — Knee Injury
- Iago Borduchi Sao Paulo Out — Inactive
- Lucca Marques Sao Paulo Out — Jaw injury
- N. Bosshardt Sao Paulo Out — Inactive
- K. Arroyo Cruzeiro Doubtful — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Cruzeiro at home
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sao Paulo away
0–2–8 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro | 4–1 | |
| Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo | 1–0 | |
| Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro | 1–1 | |
| Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo | 1–1 | |
| Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo | 0–1 | |
| Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro | 2–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 32% | 3.17 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.97 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.52 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.27 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.23 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 44% | 2.27 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.79 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.53 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.81 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.91 |