Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama match stats & report

1–2 Full time

Serie A · Brazil · Regular Season - 29 · Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro · Ref Bruno Arleu

Botafogo stats & fixtures · Vasco DA Gama stats & fixtures

Botafogo lost to Vasco DA Gama 1–2 in Serie A on 7 October 2026. Vasco DA Gama had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Botafogo 50%, the draw 25% and Vasco DA Gama 25%.

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama match statistics

BotafogoVasco DA Gama

Goals and cards

  1. 28' Goal A. Lescano (assist Bruno Duarte) Vasco DA Gama
  2. 51' Goal David (assist F. Colidio) Vasco DA Gama
  3. 60' Goal Alex Telles Botafogo
  4. 85' Red card Botafogo
  5. 90+7' Yellow card N. Ferraresi Botafogo

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.06
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.78
Over 4.5 goals19%5.24
Under 0.5 goals6%16.64
Under 1.5 goals18%5.54
Under 2.5 goals41%2.42
Under 3.5 goals64%1.56
Under 4.5 goals81%1.24
Both teams to score: Yes61%1.65
Both teams to score: No39%2.54

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.0

Botafogo 5.2 · Vasco DA Gama 4.7

Total cornersOverUnder
7.576%24%
8.565%35%
9.553%47%
10.541%59%
11.531%69%

Expected cards: 4.5

Botafogo 2.2 · Vasco DA Gama 2.3

Total cardsOverUnder
2.582%18%
3.566%34%
4.547%53%
5.531%69%
6.518%82%

Expected shots on target: 10.1

Botafogo 5.9 · Vasco DA Gama 4.2

Total shots on targetOverUnder
8.566%34%
9.555%45%
10.543%57%
11.533%67%
12.523%77%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (397 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.7%
  2. 2–1 9.9%
  3. 2–0 7.8%
  4. 1–0 7.4%
  5. 1–2 6.6%
  6. 0–0 6.0%
  7. 3–1 5.8%
  8. 2–2 5.8%

Team news & lineups

Out and doubtful

  • Andres Gomez Vasco DA Gama Out — Yellow Cards
  • Brenner Vasco DA Gama Out — Knee Injury
  • J. Barrera Botafogo Out — Ankle Injury
  • Kaio Pantaleao Botafogo Out — Knee Injury
  • C. Cuesta Vasco DA Gama Out — Inactive
  • Mateus Carvalho Vasco DA Gama Out — Knee Injury
  • K. Barria Botafogo Doubtful — Inactive
  • Matheus Martins Botafogo Doubtful — Lacking Match Fitness

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Botafogo at home

4–4–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
6.4 per game
Shots on target
6.6 per game

31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Vasco DA Gama away

4–3–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
5.1 per game
Shots on target
4.6 per game

42% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo 1–2
Botafogo v Vasco DA Gama 3–0
Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo 0–2
Botafogo v Vasco DA Gama 3–0
Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo 1–1
Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo 1–0

The full Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -1.5 handicap 28% 3.61
Home Over 2.5 team goals 27% 3.76
Home -0.5 handicap 50% 2.02
Home Over 1.5 team goals 54% 1.86
Home clean sheet 29% 3.47
Home +0.5 handicap 75% 1.34
Home/Draw double chance 75% 1.34
Home +1.5 handicap 89% 1.13
Home Over 0.5 team goals 83% 1.20
Home/Away double chance 75% 1.34
Away Over 0.5 team goals 71% 1.40
Away +1.5 handicap 72% 1.38
Away +0.5 handicap 50% 1.98
Draw/Away double chance 50% 1.98
Away Over 1.5 team goals 35% 2.83
Away clean sheet 17% 6.02
Away -0.5 handicap 25% 3.95
Away Over 2.5 team goals 13% 7.60
Away -1.5 handicap 11% 8.94