Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino match stats & report

1–0 Full time

Serie A · Brazil · Regular Season - 21 · Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta · Ref Lucas Casagrande

Atletico-MG stats & fixtures · RB Bragantino stats & fixtures

Atletico-MG beat RB Bragantino 1–0 in Serie A on 3 October 2026. RB Bragantino had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atletico-MG 48%, the draw 28% and RB Bragantino 24%.

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino match statistics

Atletico-MGRB Bragantino

Goals and cards

  1. 18' Goal Bernard Atletico-MG
  2. 84' Yellow card I. Sosa RB Bragantino
  3. 90+6' Yellow card Fred Atletico-MG

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.10
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals48%2.09
Over 3.5 goals26%3.85
Over 4.5 goals12%8.31
Under 0.5 goals9%11.18
Under 1.5 goals25%3.92
Under 2.5 goals52%1.92
Under 3.5 goals74%1.35
Under 4.5 goals88%1.14
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.91
Both teams to score: No48%2.10

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.4

Atletico-MG 5.7 · RB Bragantino 4.7

Total cornersOverUnder
8.569%31%
9.558%42%
10.547%53%
11.536%64%
12.526%74%

Expected cards: 4.6

Atletico-MG 1.9 · RB Bragantino 2.7

Total cardsOverUnder
2.583%17%
3.567%33%
4.549%51%
5.532%68%
6.519%81%

Expected shots on target: 8.9

Atletico-MG 5.1 · RB Bragantino 3.8

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.577%23%
7.565%35%
8.553%47%
9.541%59%
10.530%70%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (406 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.4%
  2. 1–0 10.4%
  3. 2–1 9.7%
  4. 2–0 9.2%
  5. 0–0 8.9%
  6. 0–1 6.1%
  7. 1–2 6.1%
  8. 3–1 4.9%

Team news & lineups

Out and doubtful

  • A. Minda Atletico-MG Out — International duty
  • Everson Atletico-MG Out — Foot Injury
  • Gustavo Scarpa Atletico-MG Out — Muscle Injury
  • K. Castano Atletico-MG Out — International duty
  • K. Pascini Atletico-MG Out — International duty
  • Ruan Tressoldi Atletico-MG Out — Muscle Injury
  • Victor Hugo Atletico-MG Out — Inactive
  • Vitao Atletico-MG Out — International duty
  • A. Hurtado RB Bragantino Out — International duty
  • Rodriguinho RB Bragantino Out — Inactive
  • A. Franco Atletico-MG Out — International duty
  • A. Preciado Atletico-MG Out — International duty
  • T. Borbas Atletico-MG Out — Loan agreement
  • Davi Gomes RB Bragantino Out — Knee Injury
  • Reinier Atletico-MG Doubtful — Muscle Injury
  • Vitor Hugo Atletico-MG Doubtful — Inactive
  • Tiago Volpi RB Bragantino Doubtful — Knee Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Atletico-MG at home

7–3–0 in 10 matches

Scored
1.9 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
7.1 per game
Shots on target
6.5 per game

32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

RB Bragantino away

1–6–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
5.7 per game
Shots on target
5.6 per game

36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Atletico-MG v RB Bragantino 2–2
RB Bragantino v Atletico-MG 0–1
RB Bragantino v Atletico-MG 1–0
RB Bragantino v Atletico-MG 2–0
Atletico-MG v RB Bragantino 2–1
Atletico-MG v RB Bragantino 3–0

The full Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away clean sheet 21% 4.76
Home -0.5 handicap 48% 2.07
Home +0.5 handicap 76% 1.31
Home/Draw double chance 76% 1.31
Home -1.5 handicap 25% 3.94
Away +1.5 handicap 75% 1.34
Home clean sheet 36% 2.80
Home +1.5 handicap 91% 1.10
Home Over 0.5 team goals 79% 1.27
Home Over 1.5 team goals 46% 2.17
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.39
Away +0.5 handicap 52% 1.94
Draw/Away double chance 52% 1.94
Away Over 0.5 team goals 64% 1.55
Home Over 2.5 team goals 20% 4.91
Away -0.5 handicap 24% 4.25
Away Over 1.5 team goals 28% 3.63
Away Over 2.5 team goals 9% 11.50
Away -1.5 handicap 9% 10.65