Sao Paulo vs Santos match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Sao Paulo lost to Santos 1–2 in Serie A on 2 October 2026. Sao Paulo had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Sao Paulo 47%, the draw 28% and Santos 25%.
Sao Paulo vs Santos match statistics
- 60% Ball possession 40%
- 20 Total shots 9
- 8 Shots on target 4
- 6 Shots off target 3
- 6 Blocked shots 2
- 14 Shots inside the box 4
- 14 Corners 1
- 13 Fouls 10
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 566 Passes 406
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 33' Yellow card Lucas Verissimo Santos
- 34' Penalty scored Luciano Sao Paulo
- 36' Goal Gabriel Barbosa (assist G. Escobar) Santos
- 41' Yellow card Luciano Sao Paulo
- 45' Yellow card C. Oliva Santos
- 54' Goal Gabriel Barbosa (assist Everton) Santos
- 76' Yellow card Everton Santos
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 47%Sao Paulo fair odds 2.11
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.58
- 25%Santos fair odds 4.04
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.69 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.83 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.67 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.16 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.9
Sao Paulo 6.5 · Santos 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 9.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 10.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 11.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 12.5 | 31% | 69% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Sao Paulo 1.8 · Santos 2.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
Sao Paulo 4.9 · Santos 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (408 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 1–0 9.8%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 2–0 8.8%
- 0–0 8.6%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 0–1 6.1%
- 2–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Sao Paulo
Bench Andre Silva , Danielzinho , Ferreira , Lucas Ramon , Luis Osorio , Newton , Pedro Ferreira , Sabino , G. Santana , Victor Sa , Wendell
Santos
Bench João Paulo , Joao Schmidt , Igor Vinicius , S. Pierri , Rafael Gonzaga , Rony , Thaciano , Gustavo Henrique , Gabriel Menino , Coutinho , D. Fernandes
Out and doubtful
- A. Barreal Santos Out — Thigh Injury
- Gabriel Brazao Santos Out — Shoulder Injury
- Djhordney Sao Paulo Out — International duty
- Jonathan Calleri Sao Paulo Out — Yellow Cards
- Lucas Moura Sao Paulo Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- Gabriel Bontempo Santos Out — Yellow Cards
- Luan Peres Santos Out — Yellow Cards
- Neymar Santos Out — Thigh Injury
- Vinicius Lira Santos Out — Knee Injury
- Willian Arao Santos Out — Inactive
- Buta Sao Paulo Out — Knee Injury
- D. Duarte Sao Paulo Out — Knee Injury
- Lucca Marques Sao Paulo Out — Jaw injury
- N. Bosshardt Sao Paulo Out — Inactive
- P. dos Santos Sao Paulo Out — International duty
- Coutinho Santos Doubtful — Lacking Match Fitness
- D. Bobadilla Sao Paulo Doubtful — Knee Injury
- G. Santana Sao Paulo Doubtful — Ankle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Sao Paulo at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 7.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Santos away
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sao Paulo vs Santos head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Santos v Sao Paulo | 1–1 | |
| Santos v Sao Paulo | 1–0 | |
| Sao Paulo v Santos | 2–1 | |
| Santos v Sao Paulo | 0–0 | |
| Sao Paulo v Santos | 4–1 | |
| Santos v Sao Paulo | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.41 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.37 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.04 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.89 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 4.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.90 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.84 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.77 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.94 |