Worthing vs Fulham U21 prediction & stats
Worthing stats & fixtures · Fulham U21 stats & fixtures
Worthing take on Fulham U21 in the National League Cup (Group Stage) on 3 November 2026. The Ghost makes Worthing favourites at 52%, with the draw at 21%. The likeliest score is 2–1, at 8.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 75%.
Worthing vs Fulham U21 prediction
The Ghost: under 4.5 goals, 61%
- 52%Worthing fair odds 1.91
- 21%Draw fair odds 4.71
- 26%Fulham U21 fair odds 3.79
Most likely score 2-1 (8.1%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Worthing to score about 0.7 more and playing at home is worth roughly 19% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 31481 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Worthing
Attack 1.68 · Defence 0.59
Last five: LDWLL, scored 6, conceded 12
Fulham U21
Attack 1.77 · Defence 0.68
Last five: LWLDL, scored 8, conceded 15
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.19× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Fulham U21 has had 8 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 2-1 (8%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Fulham U21 has a new coach, Charlie Daniels, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Worthing attack scores 68% more than average, against Fulham U21 defence, which lets in 32% fewer than average: 2.31 goals (an average side here: 2.03)
- Fulham U21 attack scores 77% more than average, against Worthing defence, which lets in 41% fewer than average: 1.77 goals (an average side here: 1.70)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Worthing 2.39, Fulham U21 1.69.
Ratings from 161 matches for Worthing and 80 for Fulham U21, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Fulham U21 score 2.1 a game — 91st percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Fulham U21’s last 10.
- Fulham U21 have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 39% | 2.58 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 38.82 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8% | 13.00 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23% | 4.42 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: No | 25% | 4.00 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 8.1%
- 1–1 7.7%
- 2–2 6.9%
- 3–1 6.5%
- 1–2 5.8%
- 3–2 5.5%
- 2–0 4.8%
- 2–3 3.9%
Team news & lineups
Worthing
No lineup published yet.
Fulham U21
- 47 D. Casey —
- 43 N. Benchaita —
- 42 L. Cooke —
- 40 B. Slade —
- 35 M. Zepa —
- 18 J. Kusi Asare —
- 45 S. Chingwaro —
- 34 C. Nwoko —
- 8 A. White —
- 39 M. Allen —
- 41 Markuss Gomins —
Form guide
Worthing at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Fulham U21 away
4–0–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 2.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.91 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 48% | 2.10 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.10 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.00 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.79 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.14 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.45 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.65 |
| Away clean sheet | 9% | 10.88 |
No bookmaker prices this competition, so there's nothing to compare the Ghost against.