AFC Hornchurch vs West Ham United U21 prediction & stats
AFC Hornchurch stats & fixtures · West Ham United U21 stats & fixtures
AFC Hornchurch take on West Ham United U21 in the National League Cup (Group Stage) on 3 November 2026. The Ghost makes West Ham United U21 favourites at 43%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 65%.
AFC Hornchurch vs West Ham United U21 prediction
The Ghost: double chance AFC Hornchurch or West Ham United U21, 74%
- 31%AFC Hornchurch fair odds 3.18
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.87
- 43%West Ham United U21 fair odds 2.35
Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects West Ham United U21 to score about 0.3 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 31481 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
AFC Hornchurch
Attack 1.31 · Defence 0.58
Last five: LLLWW, scored 9, conceded 7
West Ham United U21
Attack 1.72 · Defence 0.57
Last five: LWLLW, scored 11, conceded 14
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.19× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (12%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- West Ham United U21 has a new coach, Mark Robson, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- AFC Hornchurch attack scores 31% more than average, against West Ham United U21 defence, which lets in 43% fewer than average: 1.50 goals (an average side here: 2.03)
- West Ham United U21 attack scores 72% more than average, against AFC Hornchurch defence, which lets in 42% fewer than average: 1.71 goals (an average side here: 1.70)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on AFC Hornchurch 1.47, West Ham United U21 1.74.
Ratings from 149 matches for AFC Hornchurch and 87 for West Ham United U21, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- West Ham United U21 score 1.9 a game — 81st percentile in this competition.
- AFC Hornchurch have kept 6 clean sheets in 10.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of AFC Hornchurch’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.59 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.84 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.7%
- 1–2 9.0%
- 2–1 7.6%
- 2–2 6.6%
- 0–2 6.1%
- 0–1 5.7%
- 0–0 5.4%
- 1–3 5.2%
Form guide
AFC Hornchurch at home
7–0–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
West Ham United U21 away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 69% | 1.46 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.74 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 31% | 3.18 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.96 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.30 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.37 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.42 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.67 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.56 |
No bookmaker prices this competition, so there's nothing to compare the Ghost against.