Boston United vs Leicester City U21 prediction & stats
Boston United stats & fixtures · Leicester City U21 stats & fixtures
Boston United take on Leicester City U21 in the National League Cup (Group Stage) on 3 November 2026. The Ghost makes Boston United favourites at 45%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 10.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 68%.
Boston United vs Leicester City U21 prediction
The Ghost: Boston United to win, 45%
- 45%Boston United fair odds 2.21
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.06
- 30%Leicester City U21 fair odds 3.33
Most likely score 1-1 (10.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Boston United to score about 0.4 more and playing at home is worth roughly 19% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 31481 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Boston United
Attack 1.34 · Defence 0.63
Last five: WWLLL, scored 12, conceded 15
Leicester City U21
Attack 1.48 · Defence 0.69
Last five: LWLDW, scored 10, conceded 8
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.19× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (11%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Leicester City U21 has a new coach, Leon McSweeney, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Boston United attack scores 34% more than average, against Leicester City U21 defence, which lets in 31% fewer than average: 1.86 goals (an average side here: 2.03)
- Leicester City U21 attack scores 48% more than average, against Boston United defence, which lets in 37% fewer than average: 1.57 goals (an average side here: 1.70)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Boston United 1.90, Leicester City U21 1.53.
Ratings from 130 matches for Boston United and 68 for Leicester City U21, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Boston United have kept 0 clean sheets in 10.
- Leicester City U21 have kept 0 clean sheets in 10.
- Boston United win 9 corners a game — 83rd percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26% | 3.82 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 22.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 68% | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score: No | 32% | 3.11 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.6%
- 2–1 8.9%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 2–2 6.8%
- 2–0 5.8%
- 3–1 5.7%
- 1–0 4.9%
- 0–0 4.5%
Form guide
Boston United at home
2–1–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 2.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 9.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Leicester City U21 away
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 2.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.83 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.21 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.33 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.86 |
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.62 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.03 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.69 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.82 |
No bookmaker prices this competition, so there's nothing to compare the Ghost against.