Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca match stats & report

Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca match statistics

• 54% Ball possession 46%
• 11 Total shots 3
• 3 Shots on target 1
• 8 Shots off target 2
• 0 Blocked shots 0
• 2 Corners 2
• 3 Yellow cards 2
• 0 Red cards 0

Goals and cards

1. 21' Yellow card A. Khairi Renaissance Berkane
2. 29' Goal Y. Mehri (assist M. Chouiar) Renaissance Berkane
3. 34' Yellow card M. Boulacsout Raja Casablanca
4. 45+2' Yellow card O. Lamlaoui Renaissance Berkane
5. 81' Yellow card H. Raji Renaissance Berkane
6. 85' Goal Y. Labhiri Renaissance Berkane
7. 90+1' Yellow card Y. Dahmani Raja Casablanca

Why the Ghost says this

The two sides are expected to score about the same and this competition has almost no home advantage. It projects as a tight, low-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 531 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.07× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Renaissance Berkane’s last five moved its expected goals by −2.1%. In the numbers
• Raja Casablanca’s last five moved its expected goals by −1.4%. In the numbers
• Last 4 meetings: Renaissance Berkane won 3, 1 drawn, Raja Casablanca won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 0-0 (15%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

• Renaissance Berkane has a new coach, Bubista, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• Raja Casablanca has a new coach, Paco Jémez, for its last 3 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Renaissance Berkane attack scores 21% more than average, against Raja Casablanca defence, which lets in 25% fewer than average: 1.05 goals (an average side here: 1.15)
• Raja Casablanca attack scores 12% more than average, against Renaissance Berkane defence, which lets in 23% fewer than average: 0.92 goals (an average side here: 1.07)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Renaissance Berkane 1.05, Raja Casablanca 0.95.

Ratings from 64 matches for Renaissance Berkane and 64 for Raja Casablanca, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Renaissance Berkane score 1.5 a game — 88th percentile in this competition.
• Raja Casablanca score 1.2 a game — 75th percentile in this competition.
• Renaissance Berkane have kept 6 clean sheets in 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected cards: 4.4

Renaissance Berkane 2.4 · Raja Casablanca 2.1

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (109 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1. 0–0 14.9%
2. 1–1 14.9%
3. 1–0 12.9%
4. 0–1 11.4%
5. 2–0 7.4%
6. 2–1 7.1%
7. 1–2 6.4%
8. 0–2 6.1%