CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat match stats & report

CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat match statistics

• 52% Ball possession 48%
• 8 Total shots 3
• 2 Shots on target 0
• 6 Shots off target 3
• 0 Blocked shots 0
• 3 Corners 4
• 2 Yellow cards 3
• 0 Red cards 0

Goals and cards

1. 5' Yellow card Hamza Elowasti CODM Meknès
2. 14' Yellow card M. Louadni FAR Rabat
3. 69' Yellow card A. Hammoudan FAR Rabat
4. 71' Yellow card A. Lakhlifi CODM Meknès
5. 72' Yellow card J. Kitambala FAR Rabat

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects FAR Rabat to score about 0.6 more and this competition has almost no home advantage.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 530 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.07× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• CODM Meknès’s last five moved its expected goals by +4.4%. In the numbers
• Last 4 meetings: CODM Meknès won 1, 1 drawn, FAR Rabat won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• CODM Meknès has had 4 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 0-1 (14%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

• CODM Meknès’s last five run against its rating: +0.8 a match scored, −0.4 conceded. Weighed as measured on 15,577 matches: +4.4% to its expected goals. In the numbers
• CODM Meknès has a new coach, Jorge Paixao, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• FAR Rabat has a new coach, Pedro Soares Gonçalves, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• CODM Meknès attack scores 5% less than average, against FAR Rabat defence, which lets in 20% fewer than average: 0.88 goals (an average side here: 1.15)
• FAR Rabat attack scores 29% more than average, against CODM Meknès defence, which lets in about the average: 1.41 goals (an average side here: 1.08)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on CODM Meknès 0.85, FAR Rabat 1.49.

Ratings from 65 matches for CODM Meknès and 63 for FAR Rabat, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• CODM Meknès win 2 corners a game — 6th percentile in this competition.
• FAR Rabat win 4 corners a game — 94th percentile in this competition.
• Both teams have scored in 3 of CODM Meknès’s last 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected cards: 4.8

CODM Meknès 2.8 · FAR Rabat 2.1

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (109 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1. 0–1 13.8%
2. 1–1 13.1%
3. 0–2 10.8%
4. 0–0 10.6%
5. 1–2 9.6%
6. 1–0 6.7%
7. 0–3 5.1%
8. 2–1 5.0%