Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan match stats & report

Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan match statistics

• 67% Ball possession 33%
• 11 Total shots 3
• 4 Shots on target 2
• 7 Shots off target 1
• 0 Blocked shots 0
• 4 Corners 2
• 3 Yellow cards 2
• 0 Red cards 0

Goals and cards

1. 17' Yellow card Moghreb Tetouan
2. 21' Yellow card J. Bakasu Wydad AC
3. 40' Penalty scored S. Ganvoula Wydad AC
4. 61' Yellow card Wydad AC
5. 83' Yellow card Moghreb Tetouan
6. 86' Yellow card H. Hannouri Wydad AC

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Wydad AC to score about 0.6 more and this competition has almost no home advantage.

Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.07× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last 2 meetings: Wydad AC won 2, 0 drawn, Moghreb Tetouan won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 1-0 (14%). Confidence: Low.

Flags and warnings

• Wydad AC has a new coach, N. Nabi, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• Moghreb Tetouan has a new coach, A. El Karma, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Wydad AC attack scores 14% more than average, against Moghreb Tetouan defence, which lets in 10% more than average: 1.44 goals (an average side here: 1.16)
• Moghreb Tetouan attack scores 13% less than average, against Wydad AC defence, which lets in 8% fewer than average: 0.87 goals (an average side here: 1.08)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Wydad AC 1.47, Moghreb Tetouan 0.83.

Ratings from 65 matches for Wydad AC and 35 for Moghreb Tetouan, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Wydad AC win 5 corners a game — 69th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected cards: 4.3

Wydad AC 2.6 · Moghreb Tetouan 1.8

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (106 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–0 14.2%
2. 1–1 13.2%
3. 0–0 11.0%
4. 2–0 10.9%
5. 2–1 9.5%
6. 0–1 6.8%
7. 3–0 5.1%
8. 1–2 4.9%