Mexico vs Peru match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Mexico drew with Peru 1–1 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 30 September 2026. Mexico had 67% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mexico 57%, the draw 28% and Peru 15%.
Mexico vs Peru match statistics
- 67% Ball possession 33%
- 4 Total shots 2
- 1 Shots on target 1
- 1 Shots off target 1
- 2 Blocked shots 0
- 1 Shots inside the box 1
- 3 Corners 2
- 7 Fouls 9
- 1 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 4
- 318 Passes 155
- 92% Pass accuracy 82%
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 9' Yellow card M. Lopez Peru
- 9' Yellow card Y. Yotún Peru
- 26' Goal J. Vélez Peru
- 28' Yellow card J. Vélez Peru
- 45+2' Yellow card R. Garcés Peru
- 49' Goal V. Guzmán (assist D. García) Mexico
- 52' Yellow card M. Chávez Mexico
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 57%Mexico fair odds 1.75
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.59
- 15%Peru fair odds 6.65
Most likely score 1-0 (14.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.47 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.97 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 11.88 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 8.73 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 42% | 2.38 |
| Both teams to score: No | 58% | 1.72 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.2
Mexico 5.1 · Peru 3.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Mexico 1.6 · Peru 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
Mexico 4.5 · Peru 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 6.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 7.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 8.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 14.4%
- 1–1 12.8%
- 2–0 12.7%
- 0–0 11.5%
- 2–1 9.0%
- 3–0 6.7%
- 0–1 5.6%
- 3–1 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Mexico
Bench Álex Padilla , D. Campillo , É. Lira , J. Vasquez , L. Romo , J. Sánchez , J. Gallardo , G. Mora , H. Camberos , Santiago Sandoval , L. Chavez , A. González , H. Lozano , S. Gimenez , R. Alvarado
Peru
Bench D. Romero , Matías Córdova , M. Araujo , O. Sonne , C. Inga , J. Concha , J. Pretell , Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta , A. Barco , A. Carrillo , J. Vidales , A. Valera , Bassco Soyer , G. Lapadula , Matias Zegarra
Form guide
Mexico at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
6% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Peru away
1–2–6 in 9 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 9
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.1 per game
43% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 9 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Mexico vs Peru head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico v Peru | 1–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.92 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 16% | 6.27 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 43% | 2.33 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.33 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.65 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 28.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home clean sheet | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 32% | 3.15 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.75 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.65 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 21.93 |