USA vs Chile match stats & report
4–2 Full time
USA beat Chile 4–2 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 30 September 2026. USA had 66% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave USA 52%, the draw 27% and Chile 21%.
USA vs Chile match statistics
- 66% Ball possession 34%
- 3 Total shots 8
- 2 Shots on target 4
- 1 Shots off target 3
- 0 Blocked shots 1
- 3 Shots inside the box 3
- 0 Corners 5
- 3 Fouls 3
- 1 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 271 Passes 136
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 12' Yellow card J. Villagra Chile
- 37' Goal S. Berhalter (assist S. Dest) USA
- 45+1' Goal D. Ulloa Chile
- 49' Goal M. Gutiérrez Chile
- 51' Goal J. Hall (assist G. Reyna) USA
- 72' Goal C. Richards (assist S. Berhalter) USA
- 90+3' Goal M. Albert (assist A. Trusty) USA
- 90+8' Yellow card C. Richards USA
- 90+9' Yellow card L. Hernández Chile
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 52%USA fair odds 1.91
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.75
- 21%Chile fair odds 4.76
Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.34 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.83 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.85 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.49 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.19 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.1
USA 4.3 · Chile 3.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected cards: 3.5
USA 1.6 · Chile 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 7.9
USA 3.8 · Chile 4.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 6.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 8.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 9.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.7%
- 2–1 9.8%
- 1–0 9.5%
- 2–0 9.5%
- 0–0 7.8%
- 1–2 5.8%
- 3–1 5.6%
- 3–0 5.5%
Team news & lineups
USA
Bench B. Schwake , M. Freese , P. Miller , A. Freeman , C. Richards , G. Campbell , A. Trusty , Z. Gozo , C. Sullivan , M. Tillman , Y. Musah , T. Adams , D. Downs , M. Albert , J. Ellis
Chile
Bench C. Bravo , B. Cortés , M. Morales , F. Salinas , P. Diaz , I. Lichnovsky , A. Arce , M. Núñez , C. Pérez , V. Pizarro , M. Sepúlveda , R. Echeverría , L. Hernández , Z. Yañez , G. Tapia
Form guide
USA at home
8–0–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.1 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Chile away
3–0–4 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
USA vs Chile head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| USA v Chile | 1–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 48% | 2.10 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.61 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.76 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.63 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.65 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.27 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.80 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.99 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.37 |