Liberia vs Mali match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Liberia lost to Mali 0–1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 29 September 2026. Mali had 63% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Liberia 7%, the draw 22% and Mali 71%.
Liberia vs Mali match statistics
- 37% Ball possession 63%
- 8 Total shots 16
- 1 Shots on target 3
- 1 Shots off target 6
- 6 Blocked shots 7
- 5 Shots inside the box 7
- 3 Corners 8
- 13 Fouls 18
- 1 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 291 Passes 499
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 22' Yellow card Mohammed Sangare Liberia
- 79' Goal A. Tia (assist K. Doumbia) Mali
- 90+4' Yellow card Liberia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 7%Liberia fair odds 15.17
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.53
- 71%Mali fair odds 1.40
Most likely score 0-1 (17.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 5.07 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.22 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 8.90 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 30% | 3.31 |
| Both teams to score: No | 70% | 1.43 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected cards: 3.7
Liberia 1.7 · Mali 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4270 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–1 17.9%
- 0–2 17.6%
- 0–0 11.2%
- 0–3 10.9%
- 1–1 9.1%
- 1–2 7.5%
- 0–4 5.1%
- 1–3 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Liberia
Bench P. Wilson , Emmanuel Flomo, B. Farkarlun , Kindness Cole, Prince Martor , P. Tarnue , Divine Teah , Sabastien Teclar, George Diamond Wallace, A. Wesseh
Mali
Bench L. Coulibaly , Amadou Dante , O. Diakité , G. Diarra , M. Doumbia , A. Haidara , Cheick Keita , S. Koita , Modibo Sagnan , M. Samassa , golo n traore, A. Camara
Form guide
Liberia at home
2–1–1 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 4
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Mali away
2–4–1 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 7
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.6 per game
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 65% | 1.53 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 45% | 2.23 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 93% | 1.07 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.51 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 29% | 3.49 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.49 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.42 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 35% | 2.89 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 7% | 14.65 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 7% | 15.17 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 107.38 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 1% | 73.46 |