Luxembourg vs Iceland match stats & report
0–3 Full time
Luxembourg stats & fixtures · Iceland stats & fixtures
Luxembourg lost to Iceland 0–3 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 2) on 29 September 2026. Luxembourg had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Luxembourg 26%, the draw 29% and Iceland 45%.
Luxembourg vs Iceland match statistics
- 60% Ball possession 40%
- 5 Total shots 13
- 1 Shots on target 4
- 1 Shots off target 5
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 4 Shots inside the box 10
- 2 Corners 2
- 11 Fouls 13
- 2 Offsides 4
- 2 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 630 Passes 404
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 13' Goal A. Guðjohnsen (assist O. Oskarsson) Iceland
- 35' Yellow card H. Valdimarsson Iceland
- 39' Goal O. Oskarsson (assist A. Guðjohnsen) Iceland
- 59' Yellow card Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Iceland
- 72' Yellow card L. Barreiro Luxembourg
- 73' Goal V. Pálsson (assist G. Sigurðsson) Iceland
- 78' Yellow card M. Ellertsson Iceland
- 90' Yellow card E. Mahmutović Luxembourg
- 90+1' Yellow card Í. Þorvaldsson Iceland
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 26%Luxembourg fair odds 3.83
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.40
- 45%Iceland fair odds 2.25
Most likely score 1-1 (14.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.99 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 8.76 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.52 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.09 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.3
Luxembourg 4.1 · Iceland 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Luxembourg 2.0 · Iceland 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Luxembourg 3.3 · Iceland 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.0%
- 0–1 10.0%
- 0–0 9.5%
- 1–2 9.1%
- 0–2 8.5%
- 1–0 6.9%
- 2–1 6.7%
- 2–2 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Luxembourg
Bench E. Džogović , Jayson Videira Pereira , E. Veiga , S. Thill , Vahid Selimović , T. Rupil , T. Pereira Cardoso , E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos , T. Kips , M. Martins , O. Natami , M. Goncalves
Iceland
Bench A. Einarsson , A. Gunnarsson , Þ. Helgason , K. M. Ingason , H. Magnússon , Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson , A. Sigurdsson , J. Þorsteinsson , Í. Þorvaldsson , A. Baldursson , M. Anderson , B. Willumsson
Form guide
Luxembourg at home
1–0–4 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Iceland away
2–3–4 in 9 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 9
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.6 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 9 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Luxembourg vs Iceland head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Iceland v Luxembourg | 1–1 | |
| Luxembourg v Iceland | 3–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.39 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.48 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.25 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.42 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.43 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.80 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away clean sheet | 34% | 2.93 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.83 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.33 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.61 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.46 |