Bulgaria vs Estonia match stats & report
0–0 Full time
Bulgaria drew with Estonia 0–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 2) on 29 September 2026. Bulgaria had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bulgaria 56%, the draw 28% and Estonia 16%.
Bulgaria vs Estonia match statistics
- 55% Ball possession 45%
- 17 Total shots 6
- 2 Shots on target 2
- 6 Shots off target 2
- 9 Blocked shots 2
- 7 Shots inside the box 1
- 6 Corners 6
- 9 Fouls 26
- 0 Offsides 3
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 447 Passes 356
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 9' Yellow card D. Velkovski Bulgaria
- 37' Yellow card B. Tsonev Bulgaria
- 48' Yellow card Maksim Paskotsi Estonia
- 89' Yellow card Patrik Kristal Estonia
- 89' Yellow card K. Dimitrov Bulgaria
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 56%Bulgaria fair odds 1.79
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.59
- 16%Estonia fair odds 6.16
Most likely score 1-0 (13.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.63 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 10.78 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 9.27 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.34 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.26 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.80 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.2
Bulgaria 4.7 · Estonia 3.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Bulgaria 1.7 · Estonia 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 7.6
Bulgaria 5.0 · Estonia 2.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 9.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 13.5%
- 1–1 13.0%
- 2–0 12.0%
- 0–0 10.8%
- 2–1 9.2%
- 3–0 6.4%
- 0–1 5.6%
- 3–1 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Bulgaria
Bench A. Bozhev , Kristiyan Balov , A. Chandarov , A. Hristov , S. Ivanov , A. Kraev , M. Minchev , D. Mitov , H. Petrov , Y. Stoyanov , E. Tsenov , Petko Panayotov
Estonia
Bench M. Igonen , M. Kuusk , F. Liivak , M. Mannilaan , M. Miller , K. Palumets , R. Peetson , J. Saliste , M. Skvortsov , J. Tamm , K. Vallner , M. Ainsalu
Form guide
Bulgaria at home
1–1–3 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Estonia away
1–2–2 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 31% | 3.21 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.57 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 54% | 1.87 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 44% | 2.27 |
| Home clean sheet | 46% | 2.15 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.57 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.99 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.16 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 19.25 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 23.35 |