San Marino vs Albania match stats & report

0–3 Full time

UEFA Nations League · League C - 2 · San Marino Stadium, Serravalle · Ref Mihaly Kapraly

San Marino stats & fixtures · Albania stats & fixtures

San Marino lost to Albania 0–3 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 2) on 29 September 2026. Albania had 72% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave San Marino 1%, the draw 9% and Albania 90%.

San Marino vs Albania match statistics

San MarinoAlbania

Goals and cards

  1. 21' Goal A. Mehmeti (assist R. Manaj) Albania
  2. 27' Goal M. Uzuni Albania
  3. 34' Yellow card K. Asllani Albania
  4. 39' Yellow card N. Nanni San Marino
  5. 65' Goal R. Manaj Albania

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 0-2 (20.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.07
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.85
Over 3.5 goals32%3.16
Over 4.5 goals16%6.32
Under 0.5 goals6%16.18
Under 1.5 goals22%4.52
Under 2.5 goals46%2.17
Under 3.5 goals68%1.46
Under 4.5 goals84%1.19
Both teams to score: Yes14%6.97
Both teams to score: No86%1.17

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.3

San Marino 1.6 · Albania 6.7

Total cornersOverUnder
6.570%30%
7.557%43%
8.544%56%
9.532%68%
10.522%78%

Expected cards: 3.7

San Marino 2.1 · Albania 1.6

Total cardsOverUnder
1.588%12%
2.571%29%
3.551%49%
4.532%68%
5.518%82%

Expected shots on target: 7.8

San Marino 1.1 · Albania 6.7

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.578%22%
6.565%35%
7.552%48%
8.538%62%
9.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 0–2 20.9%
  2. 0–3 18.7%
  3. 0–1 15.3%
  4. 0–4 12.5%
  5. 0–5 6.7%
  6. 0–0 6.2%
  7. 1–2 3.4%
  8. 1–3 3.0%

Team news & lineups

San Marino

Confirmed 4-4-2 R. Cevoli

Bench M. Pasolini , N. Giacopetti , A. Tosi , G. Bugli, S. Zannoni, Fausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz, C. Meloni, P. Marinucci , F. Fabbri, Balda Enea Della, P. Amici , M. De Angelis

Form guide

San Marino at home

0–1–5 in 6 matches

Scored
0.3 per game
Conceded
3.0 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 6
Corners
3.0 per game
Shots on target
1.0 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Albania away

3–0–3 in 6 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 6
Corners
3.8 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

San Marino vs Albania head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Albania v San Marino 5–0
San Marino v Albania 0–2

Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full San Marino vs Albania head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 29% 3.41
Home/Draw double chance 10% 9.71
Away clean sheet 85% 1.18
Draw/Away double chance 99% 1.01
Away Over 0.5 team goals 93% 1.07
Home/Away double chance 91% 1.10
Away -1.5 handicap 71% 1.41
Away Over 1.5 team goals 75% 1.34
Home Over 0.5 team goals 15% 6.64
Away Over 2.5 team goals 50% 2.00
Home clean sheet 7% 14.52
Home Over 1.5 team goals 1% 83.72
Home Over 2.5 team goals <1% 1560.91
Away +1.5 handicap >99% 1.00
Away +0.5 handicap 99% 1.01
Away -0.5 handicap 90% 1.11
Home +0.5 handicap 10% 9.71
Home -0.5 handicap 1% 106.27
Home -1.5 handicap <1% 1055.85