Zambia vs Togo match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Zambia beat Togo 2–0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 29 September 2026. Togo had 61% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Zambia 52%, the draw 25% and Togo 23%.
Zambia vs Togo match statistics
- 39% Ball possession 61%
- 11 Total shots 12
- 4 Shots on target 1
- 4 Shots off target 6
- 3 Blocked shots 5
- 6 Shots inside the box 9
- 7 Corners 5
- 17 Fouls 12
- 1 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 240 Passes 378
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal (assist F. Sakala) Zambia
- 45' Yellow card M. Banda Zambia
- 45+6' Yellow card Togo
- 90' Yellow card Zambia
- 90+5' Goal (assist M. Banda) Zambia
- 90+10' Yellow card C. Abi Togo
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 52%Zambia fair odds 1.91
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.02
- 23%Togo fair odds 4.40
Most likely score 1-1 (11.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.83 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 17.57 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.53 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.58 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.2
Zambia 4.3 · Togo 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Zambia 1.7 · Togo 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.5%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 2–0 8.0%
- 1–0 7.1%
- 3–1 6.2%
- 1–2 6.2%
- 2–2 5.9%
- 0–0 5.7%
Team news & lineups
Zambia
Bench Given Kalusa, Chanka Zimba, L. Banda , J. Liteta , G. Lungu , Eliya Mandanji, Tresford Lawrence Mulenga, Owen Mwamba, P. Phiri , Tinklar Sinkala, Wilson Chisala, Owen Tembo
Togo
Bench G. Akueson , Atte youssifou, K. Aziangbe , S. Fofana , Komlavi Komi, Kodjo Fo Doh Laba , S. Mensah , P. Nadjombe , M. Ouro-Tagba , Achirafou Yaya, S. Zuberu , I. Akakpo
Form guide
Zambia at home
1–1–2 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 4
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.3 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Togo away
1–3–1 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.33 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.92 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.09 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 31% | 3.22 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.39 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.10 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.40 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 48% | 2.10 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.37 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.79 |