Uganda vs Libya match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Uganda beat Libya 1–0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 29 September 2026. Libya had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Uganda 47%, the draw 29% and Libya 23%.
Uganda vs Libya match statistics
- 45% Ball possession 55%
- 6 Total shots 14
- 1 Shots on target 5
- 4 Shots off target 5
- 1 Blocked shots 4
- 3 Shots inside the box 6
- 2 Corners 5
- 16 Fouls 21
- 3 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 354 Passes 436
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 45+2' Goal A. Vula (assist A. Okello) Uganda
- 51' Yellow card Libya
- 62' Yellow card Libya
- 77' Yellow card Rogers Mato Uganda
- 86' Yellow card Libya
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 47%Uganda fair odds 2.11
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.43
- 23%Libya fair odds 4.26
Most likely score 1-1 (13.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.11 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.14 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.23 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.03 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected cards: 3.3
Uganda 1.6 · Libya 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4270 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.9%
- 1–0 10.7%
- 0–0 9.8%
- 2–0 9.3%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 0–1 6.6%
- 1–2 6.1%
- 3–0 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Uganda
Bench K. Boateng , James Bogere , Travis Mutyaba , Allan Oyirwoth
Libya
No lineup published yet.
Form guide
Uganda at home
2–2–1 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Libya away
0–2–1 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 3
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Uganda vs Libya head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Libya v Uganda | 0–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 26% | 3.79 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.19 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.26 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.31 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.06 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 4.03 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.51 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.51 |
| Home clean sheet | 37% | 2.71 |