Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria match stats & report
3–0 Full time
Guinea-Bissau stats & fixtures · Nigeria stats & fixtures
Guinea-Bissau beat Nigeria 3–0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 29 September 2026. Nigeria had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Guinea-Bissau 12%, the draw 23% and Nigeria 65%.
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria match statistics
- 45% Ball possession 55%
- 12 Total shots 12
- 7 Shots on target 5
- 3 Shots off target 4
- 2 Blocked shots 3
- 8 Shots inside the box 8
- 4 Corners 5
- 17 Fouls 18
- 2 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 303 Passes 370
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 15' Goal Franculino Djú (assist Renato Nhaga) Guinea-Bissau
- 66' Goal M. Balde (assist Mamadi Camará) Guinea-Bissau
- 75' Yellow card Opa Sanganté Guinea-Bissau
- 88' Yellow card Alfa Semedo Guinea-Bissau
- 90+3' Yellow card C. Bassey Nigeria
- 90+5' Goal A. Djalo (assist Tamble Monteiro) Guinea-Bissau
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 12%Guinea-Bissau fair odds 8.56
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.34
- 65%Nigeria fair odds 1.53
Most likely score 0-2 (13.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.53 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.38 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| Both teams to score: No | 54% | 1.84 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 7.9
Guinea-Bissau 3.5 · Nigeria 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 7.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 8.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 9.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Guinea-Bissau 1.6 · Nigeria 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
Guinea-Bissau 2.6 · Nigeria 4.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 7.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 9.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 13.1%
- 0–1 12.1%
- 1–1 10.9%
- 1–2 9.5%
- 0–3 8.6%
- 0–0 8.1%
- 1–3 6.2%
- 0–4 4.2%
Team news & lineups
Guinea-Bissau
Bench Mamadi Camará , Gilberto Batista , Manuel Baldé , A. Djalo , Danio Djassi , Tamble Monteiro , Manuel Djaló, Panutche Camará , Mauro Rodrigues , Alfa Semedo , Iano Imbene , Steve Ambri
Nigeria
Bench O. Aina , Tolu Arokodare , S. Chukwueze , E. Fernandez , G. Ilenikhena , I. James , Chibuike Nwaiwu , A. Okonkwo , M. Okoye , R. Onyedika , M. Simon , M. Usor
Form guide
Guinea-Bissau at home
1–0–0 in 1 match
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 1
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.0 per game
Based on 1 match — treat these numbers lightly.
Nigeria away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria | 0–1 | |
| Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria | 0–1 | |
| Nigeria v Guinea-Bissau | 0–1 | |
| Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria | 0–2 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 31% | 3.19 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 41% | 2.43 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 16% | 6.06 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 35% | 2.88 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.88 |
| Away clean sheet | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.56 |
| Home clean sheet | 14% | 7.12 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 26.74 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 4% | 28.23 |