Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Cape Verde Islands stats & fixtures · Rwanda stats & fixtures
Cape Verde Islands lost to Rwanda 1–2 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 29 September 2026. Cape Verde Islands had 70% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Cape Verde Islands 54%, the draw 31% and Rwanda 15%.
Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda match statistics
- 70% Ball possession 30%
- 19 Total shots 6
- 6 Shots on target 2
- 9 Shots off target 3
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 9 Shots inside the box 2
- 4 Corners 3
- 16 Fouls 17
- 1 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 496 Passes 216
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 24' Yellow card Bonheur Mugisha Rwanda
- 37' Yellow card Kevin Pina Cape Verde Islands
- 40' Goal Benchimol (assist Ryan Mendes) Cape Verde Islands
- 45+2' Goal Claude Niyomugabo (assist A. Mutsinzi) Rwanda
- 51' Yellow card J. Mickels Rwanda
- 52' Goal (assist J. Mickels) Rwanda
- 57' Yellow card Rwanda
- 58' Yellow card A. Mutsinzi Rwanda
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 54%Cape Verde Islands fair odds 1.87
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.21
- 15%Rwanda fair odds 6.55
Most likely score 1-0 (17.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.25 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 19.93 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.48 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 36% | 2.81 |
| Both teams to score: No | 64% | 1.55 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Cape Verde Islands 4.5 · Rwanda 3.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Cape Verde Islands 1.6 · Rwanda 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 7.2
Cape Verde Islands 4.0 · Rwanda 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 6.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 7.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 9.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 17.4%
- 0–0 15.4%
- 1–1 13.1%
- 2–0 12.9%
- 2–1 7.9%
- 0–1 7.0%
- 3–0 5.8%
- 3–1 3.6%
Team news & lineups
Cape Verde Islands
Bench C. J. dos Santos , J. Cabral , Márcio Rosa , Pico , Jójó , Garry Rodrigues , Jamiro Monteiro , João Paulo , D. Livramento , Deroy Duarte , L. Duarte , Nuno da Costa
Rwanda
Bench S. Gueulette , Adolphe Hakizimana, Emmanuel Imanishimwe , Elie Tatou Iradukunda, J. Kwizera , J. Mickels, Kevin Muhire, C. Niyigena, Darryl Nkulikiyimana, I. Nshuti, Obed Obed, Noam Emeran
Form guide
Cape Verde Islands at home
3–1–1 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 5
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Rwanda away
1–0–1 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 2
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Rwanda v Cape Verde Islands | 0–0 | |
| Cape Verde Islands v Rwanda | 0–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 46% | 2.15 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.90 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.55 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 13% | 7.94 |
| Home clean sheet | 54% | 1.84 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.87 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.54 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 27% | 3.69 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.37 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 41.07 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 23.96 |