Mozambique vs Sudan match stats & report
4–1 Full time
Mozambique stats & fixtures · Sudan stats & fixtures
Mozambique beat Sudan 4–1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 29 September 2026. Mozambique had 65% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mozambique 46%, the draw 29% and Sudan 24%.
Mozambique vs Sudan match statistics
- 65% Ball possession 35%
- 12 Total shots 10
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 6 Shots off target 5
- 1 Blocked shots 1
- 6 Shots inside the box 5
- 3 Corners 6
- 12 Fouls 9
- 3 Offsides 4
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 594 Passes 318
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 24' Goal Witi (assist Guima) Mozambique
- 46' Goal Chamito Mozambique
- 50' Yellow card A. Amade Mozambique
- 54' Yellow card Sudan
- 58' Goal Guima Mozambique
- 62' Goal Chamito Mozambique
- 72' Yellow card Guima Mozambique
- 80' Yellow card Sudan
- 88' Penalty scored Yasin Hamed Sudan
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 46%Mozambique fair odds 2.16
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.42
- 24%Sudan fair odds 4.09
Most likely score 1-1 (14.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.06 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.00 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.33 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.05 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
Mozambique 4.1 · Sudan 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Mozambique 1.6 · Sudan 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Mozambique 3.7 · Sudan 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.0%
- 1–0 10.4%
- 0–0 9.7%
- 2–1 9.2%
- 2–0 9.0%
- 0–1 6.7%
- 1–2 6.3%
- 2–2 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Mozambique
Bench Dayo Antonio, Valter António Daúce Nhacussa, Fernando Data Chamboco , Edson Mucuana , Chamito , Cândido Osvaldo Mathe, Feliciano Jone, Manuel Kambala , Kimiss , Alcídio Raice, José Ventura Guirrugo, Oscar Cherene
Sudan
Form guide
Mozambique at home
1–1–2 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 4
- Corners
- 2.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Sudan away
1–1–5 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.65 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.30 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.41 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.09 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.17 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.73 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.44 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.79 |