Lesotho vs Morocco match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Lesotho lost to Morocco 0–2 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 29 September 2026. Morocco had 80% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lesotho 1%, the draw 12% and Morocco 87%.
Lesotho vs Morocco match statistics
- 20% Ball possession 80%
- 6 Total shots 19
- 1 Shots on target 5
- 5 Shots off target 7
- 0 Blocked shots 7
- 4 Shots inside the box 14
- 5 Corners 6
- 10 Fouls 10
- 0 Offsides 3
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 200 Passes 828
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 45' Goal Brahim Díaz Morocco
- 73' Yellow card O. Targhalline Morocco
- 82' Goal Azzedine Ounahi (assist S. Rahimi) Morocco
- 85' Yellow card S. Rahimi Morocco
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 1%Lesotho fair odds 84.81
- 12%Draw fair odds 8.17
- 87%Morocco fair odds 1.16
Most likely score 0-2 (22.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.21 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.45 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.41 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29% | 3.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 13% | 7.92 |
| Both teams to score: No | 87% | 1.14 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.1
Lesotho 3.2 · Morocco 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Lesotho 2.2 · Morocco 1.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 22.8%
- 0–1 19.2%
- 0–3 17.7%
- 0–4 10.3%
- 0–0 8.8%
- 0–5 4.8%
- 1–2 3.3%
- 1–1 3.2%
Team news & lineups
Lesotho
Bench Lehlohonolo Fothoane, Itumeleng Kenneth Falene, Koketso Kharajane, Molefi Kuzaya Kulehile, Tholang Makuru, Tlotliso Mapola, Leluma Mofoka, Bakuena Ramakatsa, M. Seahlolo, T. Sefali, Koete Mohloai
Morocco
Bench A. Salah-Eddine , M. Saâdane , S. Rahimi , M. Mohamedi , R. Halhal , A. Hakimi , A. Ezzalzouli , S. El-Faouzi , S. El Mourabet , A. Bouaddi , T. Bentayeb , Gessime Yassine
Form guide
Lesotho at home
2–2–3 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
60% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Morocco away
5–2–1 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 8
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Lesotho vs Morocco head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco v Lesotho | 7–0 | |
| Lesotho v Morocco | 0–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 36% | 2.77 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 13% | 7.45 |
| Home clean sheet | 10% | 10.29 |
| Away clean sheet | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Away double chance | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 14% | 7.37 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 1% | 103.47 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | >99% | 1.00 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 99% | 1.01 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 87% | 1.16 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 13% | 7.45 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 1% | 84.81 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | <1% | 953.65 |