Burundi vs Algeria match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Burundi drew with Algeria 2–2 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 29 September 2026. Algeria had 70% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Burundi 5%, the draw 14% and Algeria 81%.
Burundi vs Algeria match statistics
- 30% Ball possession 70%
- 13 Total shots 11
- 3 Shots on target 3
- 8 Shots off target 6
- 2 Blocked shots 2
- 8 Shots inside the box 4
- 6 Corners 2
- 13 Fouls 12
- 1 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 244 Passes 596
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 5' Own goal F. Chaibi Burundi
- 12' Goal Burundi
- 18' Yellow card Burundi
- 30' Goal M. Belloumi Algeria
- 45' Yellow card M. Belloumi Algeria
- 63' Goal A. Boulbina Algeria
- 90+3' Yellow card I. Kebbal Algeria
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 5%Burundi fair odds 19.88
- 14%Draw fair odds 7.15
- 81%Algeria fair odds 1.23
Most likely score 0-2 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.18 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 22.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.34 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.75 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
Burundi 3.7 · Algeria 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Burundi 1.9 · Algeria 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 7.3
Burundi 3.4 · Algeria 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 7.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 8.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 9.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 13.4%
- 0–3 12.2%
- 0–1 9.1%
- 0–4 8.2%
- 1–2 8.0%
- 1–3 7.3%
- 1–1 6.7%
- 1–4 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Burundi
Bench M. Amissi , A. Sudi , Cedric Amissi, B. Bimenyimana , K. Icoyitungiye, Omar Moussa, Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana, D. Mukombozi , Franck Nduwimana, Saidi Ntibazonkiza , O. Onésime, E. Swedi
Algeria
Bench A. Aouchiche , M. Bakrar , Z. Belaïd , A. Bourabaa , S. Chergui , A. Hadj-Moussa , I. Kebbal , S. Nair , A. Ramdane , A. Touba , A. Zorgane , M. Amoura
Form guide
Burundi at home
1–1–1 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 3
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Algeria away
6–1–2 in 9 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 9
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 9 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Burundi vs Algeria head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Burundi v Algeria | 0–4 | |
| Algeria v Burundi | 1–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 61% | 1.63 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home/Away double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away clean sheet | 55% | 1.82 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 12% | 8.27 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 19% | 5.26 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.26 |
| Home clean sheet | 7% | 15.07 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 43.78 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 5% | 19.88 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 1% | 76.70 |