Benfica vs GIL Vicente result
4–1 Full time
Benfica stats & fixtures · GIL Vicente stats & fixtures
Benfica beat GIL Vicente 4–1 in the Taça da Liga (Quarter-finals) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Benfica 73%, the draw 19% and GIL Vicente 8%.
Goals and cards
- 36' Goal D. Lukebakio (assist S. Dahl) Benfica
- 40' Goal H. Sudakov Benfica
- 54' Goal D. Lukebakio Benfica
- 56' Goal A. Lausen (assist T. Touré) GIL Vicente
- 67' Yellow card João Palhinha Benfica
- 77' Yellow card F. Aursnes Benfica
- 81' Goal J. Duran (assist Rafa) Benfica
- 83' Red card A. Espigares GIL Vicente
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Benfica to win, 73% before kick-off
- 73%Benfica fair odds 1.37
- 19%Draw fair odds 5.28
- 8%GIL Vicente fair odds 12.70
Most likely score 2-0 (14.1%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Benfica to score about 1.6 more.
High confidence — Fitted on 1875 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Benfica
Attack 1.94 · Defence 0.62
Last five: WWWWL, scored 13, conceded 6
GIL Vicente
Attack 1.03 · Defence 0.77
Last five: LWWWD, scored 7, conceded 5
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.13× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 6 meetings: Benfica won 6, 0 drawn, GIL Vicente won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 2-0 (14%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Benfica attack scores 94% more than average, against GIL Vicente defence, which lets in 23% fewer than average: 2.10 goals (an average side here: 1.41)
- GIL Vicente attack scores 3% more than average, against Benfica defence, which lets in 38% fewer than average: 0.79 goals (an average side here: 1.25)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Benfica 2.26, GIL Vicente 0.64.
Ratings from 110 matches for Benfica and 102 for GIL Vicente, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Benfica win 9.6 corners a game — 100th percentile in this competition.
- Benfica score 3.2 a game — 100th percentile in this competition.
- 6 of the last 6 meetings went over 2.5 goals.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.99 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 15.19 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.32 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.76 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Benfica 6.8 · GIL Vicente 2.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (307 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 14.1%
- 1–0 11.5%
- 3–0 10.6%
- 1–1 9.0%
- 2–1 9.0%
- 3–1 6.8%
- 0–0 6.6%
- 4–0 6.0%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Benfica at home
9–1–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 9.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.0 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
GIL Vicente away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.4 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica v GIL Vicente | 3–1 | |
| GIL Vicente v Benfica | 1–2 | |
| Benfica v GIL Vicente | 2–1 | |
| GIL Vicente v Benfica | 0–3 | |
| Benfica v GIL Vicente | 5–1 | |
| Benfica v GIL Vicente | 3–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home clean sheet | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 50% | 2.01 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 27% | 3.73 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.73 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 13% | 7.46 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 9.54 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 8% | 12.70 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 37.23 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 2% | 46.28 |