Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander result

Goals and cards

1. 24' Yellow card Manu Hernando Racing Santander
2. 30' Yellow card Ribadesella CF
3. 48' Goal Asier Villalibre (assist I. Luque) Racing Santander
4. 63' Goal Asier Villalibre (assist J. Salinas) Racing Santander
5. 81' Yellow card Ribadesella CF

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Racing Santander to score about 4.5 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 26747 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Ribadesella CF has had 20 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 0-5 (11%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Ribadesella CF attack scores 24% less than average, against Racing Santander defence, which lets in 42% fewer than average: 0.77 goals (an average side here: 1.74)
• Racing Santander attack scores 152% more than average, against Ribadesella CF defence, which lets in 44% more than average: 4.79 goals (an average side here: 1.32)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Ribadesella CF 0.47, Racing Santander 4.98.

Ratings from 2 matches for Ribadesella CF and 133 for Racing Santander, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Racing Santander have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
• Racing Santander score 0.8 a game — 24th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 0–5 11.1%
2. 0–4 11.0%
3. 0–6 9.4%
4. 0–3 8.6%
5. 0–7 6.9%
6. 1–5 5.2%
7. 1–4 5.1%
8. 0–2 5.1%