Groningen vs Emmen match stats & report

Groningen vs Emmen match statistics

• 72% Ball possession 28%
• 12 Total shots 3
• 4 Shots on target 2
• 6 Shots off target 0
• 2 Blocked shots 1
• 7 Shots inside the box 3
• 5 Corners 1
• 8 Fouls 11
• 2 Offsides 1
• 2 Yellow cards 2
• 531 Passes 211
• 90% Pass accuracy 68%
• 0 Goalkeeper saves 4

Goals and cards

1. 10' Goal J. Cooper (assist S. Veldhuis) Emmen
2. 21' Yellow card M. Csinger Groningen
3. 23' Yellow card David van der Werff Groningen
4. 25' Yellow card S. Veldhuis Emmen
5. 48' Yellow card B. Van Hove Emmen
6. 55' Goal J. Cooper (assist S. Veldhuis) Emmen
7. 73' Yellow card Stan van Manen Emmen
8. 89' Yellow card J. Cooper Emmen

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Groningen to score about 2.1 more and playing at home is worth roughly 18% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last 6 meetings: Groningen won 3, 3 drawn, Emmen won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 2-0 (10%). Confidence: Low.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Groningen attack scores 78% more than average, against Emmen defence, which lets in 33% fewer than average: 2.71 goals (an average side here: 2.29)
• Emmen attack scores 22% more than average, against Groningen defence, which lets in 56% fewer than average: 1.04 goals (an average side here: 1.94)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Groningen 2.91, Emmen 0.84.

Ratings from 113 matches for Groningen and 122 for Emmen, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Emmen win 1 corner a game — 8th percentile in this competition.
• Emmen score 1.9 a game — 76th percentile in this competition.
• Groningen score 1.4 a game — 25th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 2–0 9.9%
2. 3–0 9.7%
3. 2–1 8.4%
4. 3–1 8.1%
5. 4–0 7.0%
6. 1–1 6.5%
7. 1–0 6.1%
8. 4–1 5.9%