Laredo vs Burgos match stats & report
2–4 Full time
Laredo lost to Burgos 2–4 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Laredo 4%, the draw 18% and Burgos 78%.
Laredo vs Burgos match statistics
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
Goals and cards
- 18' Yellow card T. Asiku Laredo
- 21' Goal José Gragera (assist Saúl del Cerro) Burgos
- 31' Yellow card C. Alvarez Laredo
- 43' Yellow card R. Quintana Laredo
- 48' Goal A. Carral (assist I. Setien) Laredo
- 62' Yellow card José Gragera Burgos
- 67' Goal Alberto Dadie Burgos
- 72' Goal Primo (assist M. Fernandez) Laredo
- 77' Yellow card Álex Forés Burgos
- 86' Goal I. Martinez (assist Álex) Burgos
- 88' Yellow card M. Abad Laredo
- 90+1' Yellow card Alberto Dadie Burgos
- 90+3' Goal Alberto Dadie (assist Álex Forés) Burgos
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: over 0.5 goals, 90% before kick-off
- 4%Laredo fair odds 26.76
- 18%Draw fair odds 5.54
- 78%Burgos fair odds 1.28
Most likely score 0-2 (20.0%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Burgos to score about 1.7 more.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Laredo
Attack 0.80 · Defence 0.91
Last five: LWWWW, scored 13, conceded 3
Burgos
Attack 1.58 · Defence 0.42
Last five: WWLLW, scored 6, conceded 5
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.00× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (20%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- Laredo has a new coach, Juanma Fernández, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Laredo attack scores 20% less than average, against Burgos defence, which lets in 58% fewer than average: 0.44 goals (an average side here: 1.32)
- Burgos attack scores 58% more than average, against Laredo defence, which lets in 9% fewer than average: 1.91 goals (an average side here: 1.32)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Laredo 0.30, Burgos 2.04.
Ratings from 112 matches for Laredo and 134 for Burgos, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Burgos win 3.4 corners a game — 24th percentile in this competition.
- Burgos score 1.4 a game — 69th percentile in this competition.
- Burgos have kept 5 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.76 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.21 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 9.66 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 24% | 4.24 |
| Both teams to score: No | 76% | 1.31 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 20.0%
- 0–1 18.8%
- 0–3 13.6%
- 0–0 10.4%
- 0–4 6.9%
- 1–1 6.7%
- 1–2 6.1%
- 1–3 4.1%
Team news & lineups
Laredo
Bench Dani Ojeda, Miguel de la Maza, Lander Arenal, Iván López Martínez, Primo , Arturo Ramirez , Sergio Casta, Ibon Cuesta, Eduardo Vega Sáenz, Valentín Prieto , Cristiano Martins
Burgos
Bench Alberto Dadie , Álex Forés , Marc Monedero , Ander Cantero , Álex , Brais Martínez , Oier Luengo , Marcelo Expósito , Javi Llabrés , U. Vencedor , P. Galdames , Pablo Sagredo
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Laredo at home
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Burgos away
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.1 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Away double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away clean sheet | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 2.99 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 26% | 3.82 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 22% | 4.59 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.59 |
| Home clean sheet | 13% | 7.70 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 4% | 26.45 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 4% | 26.76 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 1% | 167.35 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | <1% | 267.99 |