Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon match stats & report
1–3 Full time
Guijuelo stats & fixtures · Sporting Gijon stats & fixtures
Guijuelo lost to Sporting Gijon 1–3 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Guijuelo 11%, the draw 23% and Sporting Gijon 66%.
Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon match statistics
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
Goals and cards
- 38' Own goal Pablo Vázquez Guijuelo
- 59' Yellow card J. Ruiz Guijuelo
- 62' Goal J. Otero (assist Pablo Vázquez) Sporting Gijon
- 63' Goal Enol Prendes Sporting Gijon
- 90+3' Goal M. Conde (assist M. Loum) Sporting Gijon
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Sporting Gijon to win, 66% before kick-off
- 11%Guijuelo fair odds 9.13
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.36
- 66%Sporting Gijon fair odds 1.51
Most likely score 0-2 (13.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Sporting Gijon to score about 1.3 more.
High confidence — Fitted on 26747 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Guijuelo
Attack 0.95 · Defence 0.79
Last five: WWWLL, scored 9, conceded 4
Sporting Gijon
Attack 1.75 · Defence 0.49
Last five: LWWWL, scored 6, conceded 9
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last meeting: Guijuelo won 0, 0 drawn, Sporting Gijon won 1. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (14%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Guijuelo has a new coach, Rubén Gala, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Guijuelo attack scores 5% less than average, against Sporting Gijon defence, which lets in 51% fewer than average: 0.82 goals (an average side here: 1.74)
- Sporting Gijon attack scores 75% more than average, against Guijuelo defence, which lets in 21% fewer than average: 1.82 goals (an average side here: 1.32)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Guijuelo 0.69, Sporting Gijon 1.95.
Ratings from 110 matches for Guijuelo and 133 for Sporting Gijon, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Guijuelo score 1.9 a game — 80th percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Guijuelo’s last 10.
- Sporting Gijon win 3.5 corners a game — 32nd percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.80 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 11.92 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.28 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.78 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 13.6%
- 0–1 12.7%
- 1–1 10.8%
- 1–2 9.3%
- 0–3 8.9%
- 0–0 8.4%
- 1–3 6.1%
- 0–4 4.3%
Team news & lineups
Guijuelo
Bench Santiago Pérez, Daniel Fernández, Álvaro Sánchez, Dani Sánchez, Pedro Álvarez, Christian Herrera, Hugo Garcia, Roberto Lázaro, Fernando Muriel, Beltrán Jiménez
Sporting Gijon
Bench J. Otero , Enol Prendes , Hugo Guillamón , Rubén Yáñez , E. Gularte , Jorge Sáenz , A. Coundoul , Christian Ferreres , M. Conde
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Guijuelo at home
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Sporting Gijon away
6–0–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon | 0–3 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 89% | 1.12 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Away clean sheet | 50% | 1.99 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.40 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 34% | 2.95 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.95 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 31% | 3.22 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 15% | 6.63 |
| Home clean sheet | 14% | 7.05 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 11% | 9.13 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 30.84 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 3% | 31.30 |