RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte result

Goals and cards

1. 12' Yellow card W. Hansler ROHDA Raalte
2. 14' Goal R. Tol (assist N. Runderkamp) RKAV Volendam
3. 44' Goal L. Veerman (assist P. Kroon) RKAV Volendam
4. 45+1' Yellow card D. Rickhoff ROHDA Raalte
5. 90+2' Goal W. Ait Abdellah (assist N. Runderkamp) RKAV Volendam

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects RKAV Volendam to score about 1.7 more and playing at home is worth roughly 18% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.

High confidence — Fitted on 5336 matches, and close to what the market implies.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 2-1 (9%). Confidence: High.

Flags and warnings

• RKAV Volendam has a new coach, Ted Verdonkschot, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• RKAV Volendam attack scores 23% more than average, against ROHDA Raalte defence, which lets in 8% fewer than average: 2.58 goals (an average side here: 2.29)
• ROHDA Raalte attack scores 13% less than average, against RKAV Volendam defence, which lets in 25% fewer than average: 1.27 goals (an average side here: 1.94)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on RKAV Volendam 2.76, ROHDA Raalte 1.09.

Ratings from 108 matches for RKAV Volendam and 90 for ROHDA Raalte, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• ROHDA Raalte have kept 0 clean sheets in 10.
• RKAV Volendam have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
• Both teams have scored in 8 of RKAV Volendam’s last 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 2–1 8.8%
2. 3–1 8.1%
3. 2–0 8.1%
4. 3–0 7.4%
5. 1–1 7.2%
6. 4–1 5.6%
7. 4–0 5.1%
8. 1–0 5.0%