Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk match stats & report

Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk match statistics

• 55% Ball possession 45%
• 14 Total shots 5
• 5 Shots on target 2
• 8 Shots off target 1
• 1 Blocked shots 2
• 13 Shots inside the box 5
• 6 Corners 0
• 10 Fouls 10
• 1 Offsides 1
• 2 Yellow cards 4
• 350 Passes 301
• 73% Pass accuracy 61%
• 0 Goalkeeper saves 2

Goals and cards

1. 4' Goal Myron Bostdorp (assist Kevin Hebbelinck) Hoek
2. 10' Yellow card Wimilio Vink Sparta Nijkerk
3. 15' Goal Thomas Buitink (assist D. Koida) Sparta Nijkerk
4. 21' Goal Wimilio Vink (assist Tim Pieters) Sparta Nijkerk
5. 34' Yellow card L. Ketels Hoek
6. 39' Goal Myron Bostdorp Hoek
7. 45+2' Penalty scored Noah Aelterman Hoek
8. 51' Yellow card Janic Makizodila Sparta Nijkerk
9. 54' Yellow card Sparta Nijkerk
10. 55' Yellow card Thomas Buitink Sparta Nijkerk
11. 64' Yellow card Cederick Van Daele Hoek
12. 75' Goal Cederick Van Daele Hoek

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Hoek to score about 1.3 more and playing at home is worth roughly 18% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.

High confidence — Fitted on 5336 matches, and close to what the market implies.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 2-1 (10%). Confidence: High.

Flags and warnings

• Hoek has a new coach, Gerard de Nooijer, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• Sparta Nijkerk has a new coach, Bert van Hunenstijn, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Hoek attack scores 10% more than average, against Sparta Nijkerk defence, which lets in 11% fewer than average: 2.24 goals (an average side here: 2.29)
• Sparta Nijkerk attack scores 3% more than average, against Hoek defence, which lets in 40% fewer than average: 1.19 goals (an average side here: 1.94)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Hoek 2.38, Sparta Nijkerk 1.05.

Ratings from 109 matches for Hoek and 115 for Sparta Nijkerk, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Sparta Nijkerk win 0 corners a game — 4th percentile in this competition.
• Hoek win 6 corners a game — 72nd percentile in this competition.
• Sparta Nijkerk score 1.8 a game — 68th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 2–1 9.6%
2. 2–0 9.2%
3. 1–1 9.1%
4. 3–1 7.7%
5. 3–0 7.3%
6. 1–0 6.7%
7. 2–2 5.0%
8. 4–1 4.6%