SS Reyes vs CD Coria result
1–2 After extra time
SS Reyes lost to CD Coria 1–2 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave SS Reyes 55%, the draw 27% and CD Coria 18%.
Goals and cards
- 14' Yellow card A. Tovar SS Reyes
- 26' Yellow card J. C. Gonzalez Godinez SS Reyes
- 34' Penalty scored Toper CD Coria
- 44' Yellow card E. Llorente CD Coria
- 63' Goal K. de la Llave SS Reyes
- 93' Red card K. de la Llave SS Reyes
- 100' Yellow card A. Blanco CD Coria
- 103' Yellow card F. Ruiz SS Reyes
- 108' Yellow card J. Guzman CD Coria
- 119' Goal R. Nunez CD Coria
- 120' Yellow card R. Nunez CD Coria
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: over 0.5 goals, 91% before kick-off, settled on 1–1 after 90 minutes
- 55%SS Reyes fair odds 1.82
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.73
- 18%CD Coria fair odds 5.52
Most likely score 1-1 (12.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects SS Reyes to score about 0.8 more and playing at home is worth roughly 32% in this competition.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
SS Reyes
Attack 1.31 · Defence 0.60
Last five: WWLWL, scored 9, conceded 7
CD Coria
Attack 1.24 · Defence 0.71
Last five: DWLLD, scored 6, conceded 9
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (13%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- SS Reyes has a new coach, Manolo Sanlúcar, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- CD Coria has a new coach, Alberto Antunez Urquia, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- SS Reyes attack scores 31% more than average, against CD Coria defence, which lets in 29% fewer than average: 1.62 goals (an average side here: 1.74)
- CD Coria attack scores 24% more than average, against SS Reyes defence, which lets in 40% fewer than average: 0.98 goals (an average side here: 1.32)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on SS Reyes 1.71, CD Coria 0.90.
Ratings from 110 matches for SS Reyes and 113 for CD Coria, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- SS Reyes score 1.1 a game — 27th percentile in this competition.
- CD Coria score 0.9 a game — 31st percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.78 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.13 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.27 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.97 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.00 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.8%
- 1–0 11.2%
- 2–0 10.8%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 0–0 8.9%
- 3–0 6.1%
- 3–1 5.5%
- 0–1 5.2%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 69% | 1.46 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 45% | 2.23 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.23 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.45 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 31% | 3.18 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.08 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.43 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.52 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.52 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 15.61 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.10 |