Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna result
0–6 Full time
Atletico Calatayud stats & fixtures · Osasuna stats & fixtures
Atletico Calatayud lost to Osasuna 0–6 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atletico Calatayud <1%, the draw 3% and Osasuna 97%.
Goals and cards
- 13' Goal Raúl García (assist R. Moro) Osasuna
- 29' Goal K. Barja Osasuna
- 39' Goal Raúl García (assist K. Barja) Osasuna
- 52' Penalty scored Jonathan Dubasin Osasuna
- 53' Yellow card U. Santos Osasuna
- 59' Goal Raúl García (assist R. Moro) Osasuna
- 82' Goal A. Bonel Osasuna
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: over 1.5 goals, 96% before kick-off
- <1%Atletico Calatayud fair odds 201.93
- 3%Draw fair odds 34.21
- 97%Osasuna fair odds 1.04
Most likely score 0-4 (13.3%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Osasuna to score about 4.1 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.
High confidence — Fitted on 26747 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Atletico Calatayud
Attack 0.76 · Defence 1.52
Last five: WWLL, scored 5, conceded 8
Osasuna
Attack 2.14 · Defence 0.46
Last five: LWLDL, scored 5, conceded 12
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Atletico Calatayud has had 23 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 0-4 (13%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Osasuna has a new coach, Arrasate, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Atletico Calatayud attack scores 24% less than average, against Osasuna defence, which lets in 54% fewer than average: 0.61 goals (an average side here: 1.74)
- Osasuna attack scores 114% more than average, against Atletico Calatayud defence, which lets in 52% more than average: 4.28 goals (an average side here: 1.32)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Atletico Calatayud 0.36, Osasuna 4.48.
Ratings from 4 matches for Atletico Calatayud and 124 for Osasuna, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Osasuna win 2.3 corners a game — 5th percentile in this competition.
- Osasuna score 1.8 a game — 89th percentile in this competition.
- Osasuna have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 99% | 1.01 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 54% | 1.87 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 1% | 108.54 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 4% | 23.17 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 14% | 7.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 30% | 3.33 |
| Both teams to score: No | 70% | 1.43 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–4 13.3%
- 0–5 12.0%
- 0–3 11.8%
- 0–6 9.1%
- 0–2 7.8%
- 0–7 5.9%
- 1–4 4.8%
- 1–5 4.3%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Atletico Calatayud at home
1–0–2 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 3.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 3
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Osasuna away
4–0–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 2.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | >99% | 1.00 |
| Draw/Away double chance | >99% | 1.00 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | >99% | 1.00 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home/Away double chance | 97% | 1.03 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 97% | 1.04 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.12 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away clean sheet | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 30% | 3.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.64 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 5% | 19.60 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 3% | 29.25 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 3% | 29.25 |
| Home clean sheet | 1% | 91.80 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 168.82 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | <1% | 201.93 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | <1% | 1095.63 |