Australia vs Brazil match stats & report
2–4 Full time
Australia lost to Brazil 2–4 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 29 September 2026. Brazil had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Australia 17%, the draw 25% and Brazil 57%.
Australia vs Brazil match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 8 Total shots 18
- 2 Shots on target 8
- 5 Shots off target 3
- 1 Blocked shots 7
- 7 Shots inside the box 13
- 4 Corners 6
- 18 Fouls 13
- 1 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 439 Passes 457
- 83% Pass accuracy 86%
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 3' Goal Vanderson (assist Gabriel Bontempo) Brazil
- 28' Goal A. Circati Australia
- 33' Goal C. Metcalfe (assist A. Circati) Australia
- 40' Yellow card Gabriel Magalhães Brazil
- 45' Penalty scored Raphinha Brazil
- 57' Yellow card N. Irankunda Australia
- 68' Yellow card Endrick Brazil
- 68' Yellow card H. Souttar Australia
- 69' Goal Bruno Guimaraes (assist Endrick) Brazil
- 80' Penalty scored Vinicius Junior Brazil
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 17%Australia fair odds 5.75
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.98
- 57%Brazil fair odds 1.74
Most likely score 1-1 (12.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.23 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.52 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.48 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.13 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.1
Australia 3.8 · Brazil 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Australia 1.6 · Brazil 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Australia 2.6 · Brazil 5.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4445 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.0%
- 0–2 10.5%
- 1–2 9.9%
- 0–1 9.9%
- 0–0 7.4%
- 0–3 6.5%
- 1–3 6.1%
- 2–1 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Australia
Bench J. Chapman , P. Izzo , K. Bos , M. Degenek , Jason Geria , D. Leonard , K. Adamson , N. Velupillay , P. Yazbek , M. Younis , A. O'Neill , R. McGree , Y. Dukuly , E. Adams
Brazil
Bench Endrick , Hugo Souza , Pedro Morisco , Douglas Santos , Matheuzinho , Marquinhos , Vitor Nunes , Arthur Dias , Breno Bidon , Douglas Luiz , Andrey Santos , Samuel Lino , Estêvão , Martinelli , Pedro
Form guide
Australia at home
3–1–1 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Brazil away
4–1–1 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 3.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.7 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Australia vs Brazil head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Australia v Brazil | 1–1 | |
| Australia v Brazil | 0–4 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw double chance | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.43 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.75 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.09 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.14 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.18 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 6% | 15.80 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.74 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Away clean sheet | 39% | 2.58 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.91 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.50 |