Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce result
2–1 Full time
Polonia Warszawa stats & fixtures · Korona Kielce stats & fixtures
Polonia Warszawa beat Korona Kielce 2–1 in the Cup (Round of 32) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Polonia Warszawa 33%, the draw 30% and Korona Kielce 38%.
Goals and cards
- 24' Yellow card S. Rubežić Korona Kielce
- 27' Own goal M. Pięczek Polonia Warszawa
- 38' Yellow card D. Gnaase Polonia Warszawa
- 41' Yellow card D. Olafsson Polonia Warszawa
- 48' Goal K. Kostorz (assist D. Vega) Polonia Warszawa
- 51' Goal Daniel Bak (assist W. Dlugosz) Korona Kielce
- 66' Yellow card J. Budnicki Polonia Warszawa
- 78' Yellow card G. Barkovskiy Polonia Warszawa
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: double chance Polonia Warszawa or Korona Kielce, 70% before kick-off
- 33%Polonia Warszawa fair odds 3.07
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.36
- 38%Korona Kielce fair odds 2.66
Most likely score 1-1 (14.2%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 6591 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Polonia Warszawa
Attack 1.28 · Defence 0.65
Last five: DWWWW, scored 8, conceded 3
Korona Kielce
Attack 1.34 · Defence 0.53
Last five: WLLLW, scored 6, conceded 15
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.20× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last meeting: Polonia Warszawa won 0, 1 drawn, Korona Kielce won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (14%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Polonia Warszawa has a new coach, Piotr Stokowiec, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Korona Kielce has a new coach, R. Kolendowicz, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Polonia Warszawa attack scores 28% more than average, against Korona Kielce defence, which lets in 47% fewer than average: 1.25 goals (an average side here: 1.84)
- Korona Kielce attack scores 34% more than average, against Polonia Warszawa defence, which lets in 35% fewer than average: 1.33 goals (an average side here: 1.53)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Polonia Warszawa 1.23, Korona Kielce 1.34.
Ratings from 111 matches for Polonia Warszawa and 111 for Korona Kielce, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Korona Kielce win 5.4 corners a game — 85th percentile in this competition.
- Polonia Warszawa have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
- Korona Kielce score 1 a game — 26th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.38 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.82 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.17 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.2%
- 0–0 9.2%
- 0–1 8.6%
- 1–2 8.5%
- 2–1 7.8%
- 1–0 7.7%
- 0–2 6.8%
- 2–0 5.8%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Polonia Warszawa at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Korona Kielce away
4–0–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce v Polonia Warszawa | 0–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 67% | 1.48 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.48 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.60 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.60 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.58 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.66 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.86 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.07 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.44 |
| Home clean sheet | 26% | 3.83 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.57 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.55 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.85 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.81 |