Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Karaköprü Belediyespor result
5–0 Full time
Gençlerbirliği S.K. stats & fixtures · Karaköprü Belediyespor stats & fixtures
Gençlerbirliği S.K. beat Karaköprü Belediyespor 5–0 in the Türkiye Kupası (3rd Round) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Gençlerbirliği S.K. 67%, the draw 22% and Karaköprü Belediyespor 11%.
Goals and cards
- 1' Goal Pedro Mendes Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- 13' Own goal M. E. Yavas Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- 29' Goal C. Niasse Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- 84' Goal Ayaz Özcan (assist Rafael Luis) Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- 90+2' Goal Victor Orakpo (assist P. Martor) Gençlerbirliği S.K.
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Gençlerbirliği S.K. to win, 67% before kick-off
- 67%Gençlerbirliği S.K. fair odds 1.50
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.56
- 11%Karaköprü Belediyespor fair odds 8.71
Most likely score 2-0 (12.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Gençlerbirliği S.K. to score about 1.3 more and playing at home is worth roughly 22% in this competition.
High confidence — Fitted on 7292 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Attack 1.26 · Defence 0.58
Last five: LLDLL, scored 3, conceded 11
Karaköprü Belediyespor
Attack 1.06 · Defence 0.86
Last five: WWLWW, scored 13, conceded 3
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.22× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 2-0 (13%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. has a new coach, Metin Diyadin, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Karaköprü Belediyespor has a new coach, H. Binboğa, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. attack scores 26% more than average, against Karaköprü Belediyespor defence, which lets in 14% fewer than average: 1.94 goals (an average side here: 1.78)
- Karaköprü Belediyespor attack scores 6% more than average, against Gençlerbirliği S.K. defence, which lets in 42% fewer than average: 0.90 goals (an average side here: 1.46)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2.07, Karaköprü Belediyespor 0.77.
Ratings from 117 matches for Gençlerbirliği S.K. and 97 for Karaköprü Belediyespor, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Karaköprü Belediyespor score 1.8 a game — 85th percentile in this competition.
- Karaköprü Belediyespor have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. score 2.1 a game — 83rd percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.30 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.19 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| Both teams to score: No | 52% | 1.92 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 12.6%
- 1–0 10.9%
- 1–1 10.5%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 3–0 8.7%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 3–1 6.7%
- 4–0 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Karaköprü Belediyespor
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Karaköprü Belediyespor away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Home clean sheet | 47% | 2.15 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 43% | 2.32 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.91 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 33% | 2.99 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.59 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.96 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 11% | 8.71 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 23.49 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 27.85 |