Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen result
0–3 Full time
Aarhus Fremad stats & fixtures · FC Copenhagen stats & fixtures
Aarhus Fremad lost to FC Copenhagen 0–3 in the DBU Pokalen (Round of 16) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Aarhus Fremad 12%, the draw 20% and FC Copenhagen 68%.
Goals and cards
- 13' Yellow card A. Markgráf FC Copenhagen
- 20' Goal W. Clem (assist R. Huescas) FC Copenhagen
- 35' Yellow card B. Meling FC Copenhagen
- 39' Goal M. Elyounoussi FC Copenhagen
- 58' Yellow card J. Suzuki FC Copenhagen
- 66' Yellow card F. Grube Aarhus Fremad
- 71' Own goal A. Ludwig FC Copenhagen
- 85' Yellow card G. Olsen FC Copenhagen
- 90+1' Yellow card M. Kirchheiner Aarhus Fremad
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: FC Copenhagen to win, 68% before kick-off
- 12%Aarhus Fremad fair odds 8.10
- 20%Draw fair odds 5.09
- 68%FC Copenhagen fair odds 1.47
Most likely score 0-2 (10.0%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects FC Copenhagen to score about 1.4 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 3840 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Aarhus Fremad
Attack 1.69 · Defence 0.32
Last five: DDLLD, scored 2, conceded 6
FC Copenhagen
Attack 3.43 · Defence 0.27
Last five: DDDWL, scored 8, conceded 6
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (10%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Aarhus Fremad has a new coach, Mathias Damgaard, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Aarhus Fremad attack scores 69% more than average, against FC Copenhagen defence, which lets in 73% fewer than average: 1.11 goals (an average side here: 2.44)
- FC Copenhagen attack scores 243% more than average, against Aarhus Fremad defence, which lets in 68% fewer than average: 2.24 goals (an average side here: 2.07)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Aarhus Fremad 0.96, FC Copenhagen 2.39.
Ratings from 103 matches for Aarhus Fremad and 115 for FC Copenhagen, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Both teams have scored in 2 of FC Copenhagen’s last 10.
- FC Copenhagen have kept 6 clean sheets in 10.
- FC Copenhagen score 1.7 a game — 65th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 4.07 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 21.89 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.86 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.33 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 10.0%
- 1–2 9.6%
- 1–1 9.1%
- 0–3 8.0%
- 1–3 7.7%
- 0–1 7.4%
- 0–4 4.8%
- 2–2 4.6%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Aarhus Fremad at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
FC Copenhagen away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.9 per game
24% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.05 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 53% | 1.87 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 47% | 2.15 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Away clean sheet | 38% | 2.61 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.13 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 32% | 3.13 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 4.02 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.10 |
| Home clean sheet | 9% | 10.90 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.75 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 4% | 22.84 |