Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Kayserispor result
4–1 Full time
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor stats & fixtures · Kayserispor stats & fixtures
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor beat Kayserispor 4–1 in the Türkiye Kupası (3rd Round) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bitlis Özgüzelderespor 45%, the draw 27% and Kayserispor 28%.
Goals and cards
- 30' Goal A. Akkus Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- 45' Goal M. Arslantas Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- 53' Goal H. Yilmaz Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- 63' Own goal M. Denizli Kayserispor
- 80' Goal E. Ilkin Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Bitlis Özgüzelderespor to win, 45% before kick-off
- 45%Bitlis Özgüzelderespor fair odds 2.22
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.65
- 28%Kayserispor fair odds 3.64
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Bitlis Özgüzelderespor to score about 0.4 more and playing at home is worth roughly 22% in this competition.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 7292 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
Attack 1.39 · Defence 0.66
Last five: DDWWW, scored 14, conceded 2
Kayserispor
Attack 1.32 · Defence 0.64
Last five: DDWWW, scored 12, conceded 6
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.22× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (13%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Kayserispor has a new coach, A. Gerin, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Bitlis Özgüzelderespor attack scores 39% more than average, against Kayserispor defence, which lets in 36% fewer than average: 1.58 goals (an average side here: 1.78)
- Kayserispor attack scores 32% more than average, against Bitlis Özgüzelderespor defence, which lets in 34% fewer than average: 1.28 goals (an average side here: 1.46)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Bitlis Özgüzelderespor 1.63, Kayserispor 1.23.
Ratings from 11 matches for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor and 116 for Kayserispor, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Kayserispor win 4.3 corners a game — 100th percentile in this competition.
- Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 3.6 a game — 99th percentile in this competition.
- Kayserispor score 1.6 a game — 78th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.11 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.18 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.84 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.41 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 1–0 7.8%
- 2–0 7.6%
- 0–0 7.2%
- 1–2 7.1%
- 2–2 5.8%
- 0–1 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Kayserispor
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at home
6–1–0 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 3.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 7
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Kayserispor away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.7 per game
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.24 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.82 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.22 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.86 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.43 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.64 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.13 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.47 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 5.09 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.83 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.30 |