Orlando Pirates vs Milford FC result
3–0 Full time
Orlando Pirates stats & fixtures · Milford FC stats & fixtures
Orlando Pirates beat Milford FC 3–0 in the Carling Knockout (Round of 16) on 27 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Orlando Pirates 79%, the draw 17% and Milford FC 4%.
Goals and cards
- 8' Yellow card O. Cele Milford FC
- 17' Goal T. Mokobodi (assist T. Moremi) Orlando Pirates
- 21' Yellow card S. Zulu Orlando Pirates
- 23' Yellow card T. Mbatha Orlando Pirates
- 34' Goal T. Moremi (assist T. Mbatha) Orlando Pirates
- 38' Yellow card Yanelisa Nomandela Milford FC
- 45+2' Goal T. Moremi (assist M. Padime) Orlando Pirates
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: over 0.5 goals, 91% before kick-off
- 79%Orlando Pirates fair odds 1.26
- 17%Draw fair odds 5.93
- 4%Milford FC fair odds 26.01
Most likely score 2-0 (19.0%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Orlando Pirates to score about 1.8 more and playing at home is worth roughly 30% in this competition.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Orlando Pirates
Attack 1.73 · Defence 0.50
Last five: WWWLW, scored 10, conceded 2
Milford FC
Attack 0.99 · Defence 0.91
Last five: WDWDL, scored 7, conceded 4
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.30× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last meeting: Orlando Pirates won 1, 0 drawn, Milford FC won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Milford FC has had 6 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 2-0 (19%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- Milford FC has a new coach, Mlungisi Mchunu, for its last 7 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Orlando Pirates attack scores 73% more than average, against Milford FC defence, which lets in 9% fewer than average: 2.03 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
- Milford FC attack scores about the average, against Orlando Pirates defence, which lets in 50% fewer than average: 0.49 goals (an average side here: 1.00)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Orlando Pirates 2.18, Milford FC 0.34.
Ratings from 106 matches for Orlando Pirates and 94 for Milford FC, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Orlando Pirates score 2.3 a game — 100th percentile in this competition.
- Milford FC score 0.4 a game — 6th percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 1 of Milford FC’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.05 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 8.96 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.33 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28% | 3.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 27% | 3.76 |
| Both teams to score: No | 73% | 1.36 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 19.0%
- 1–0 16.7%
- 3–0 13.8%
- 0–0 8.8%
- 4–0 7.5%
- 1–1 6.8%
- 2–1 6.6%
- 3–1 4.8%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Orlando Pirates at home
8–1–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.8 per game
13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Milford FC away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Orlando Pirates vs Milford FC head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates v Milford FC | 2–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home clean sheet | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 55% | 1.81 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 45% | 2.23 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 29% | 3.43 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 21% | 4.83 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.83 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 8.81 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 5% | 21.13 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 4% | 26.01 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 147.01 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 189.52 |